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The microevolutionary consequences of climate change.
1Robert Holt is at the Museum of Natural History, Dept of Systematics and Ecology, The University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS 66045-2454, USA.
Trends in Ecology & Evolution
|January 15, 2011
Summary
Predicting species
Area of Science:
- Evolutionary biology
- Climate change science
- Ecology
Background:
- Climate change impacts species through altered selection pressures.
- Species possess varying levels of genetic variation for adaptive responses.
- Microevolutionary factors like drift and gene flow are also affected.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the predictability of species' evolutionary responses to climate change.
- To identify key factors influencing evolutionary trajectories under climate change.
Main Methods:
- Review of existing literature on species' responses to environmental change.
- Analysis of genetic variation and microevolutionary processes in relation to climate.
- Assessment of ecological and physiological data relevant to species' adaptation.
Main Results:
- Predicting evolutionary outcomes for species facing climate change is challenging.
- Genetic variation for adaptive traits varies significantly among species.
- Climate change affects both selective and nonselective evolutionary forces.
Conclusions:
- Current knowledge of species' ecology, physiology, and genetics is insufficient for accurate evolutionary predictions.
- Further research integrating multiple biological disciplines is needed to forecast species' adaptive capacities.
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