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Published on: November 14, 2025
The 'Goldilocks' effect: preservation bias in vertebrate track assemblages
P L Falkingham1, K T Bates, L Margetts
1School of Earth, Atmospheric and Environmental Science, University of Manchester, Williamson Building, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK. peter.falkingham@manchester.ac.uk
Dinosaur body mass significantly biases the fossil track record, favoring larger animals. Track depth can reveal substrate conditions, improving paleoenvironmental interpretations.
Area of Science:
- Paleontology
- Sedimentology
- Biomechanics
Background:
- The fossil record of vertebrate tracks (ichnology) is influenced by various factors.
- Body mass and substrate properties are hypothesized to create biases in track preservation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the bias in the ichnological fossil record attributable to dinosaur body mass.
- To assess the influence of substrate conditions on track formation and preservation.
- To enhance the use of vertebrate tracks as paleoenvironmental indicators.
Main Methods:
- Finite-element analysis was employed to simulate virtual dinosaur tracks.
- Four dinosaur taxa of varying sizes were modeled (Struthiomimus, Tyrannosaurus, Brachiosaurus, Edmontosaurus).
- Simulations were conducted across a range of substrate conditions, considering animal weight and limb loading.
Main Results:
- Ideal substrates showed a narrow 'Goldilocks' range of loads for track formation; small animals failed to indent, large animals became mired.
- Assuming a firm subsurface layer allowed for more track preservation, but with a strong bias towards larger, heavier animals.
- Track depths can indicate the thickness of mechanically distinct substrate layers during track formation.
- Simulated undertracks suggest that basal ridges may result from sediment displacement and pedal morphology, not necessarily limb kinematics.
Conclusions:
- Dinosaur body mass introduces significant bias into the ichnological fossil record.
- Track depth analysis offers valuable insights into substrate properties and paleoenvironmental conditions.
- Reinterpretations of undertrack features are proposed, decoupling them from limb kinematics.
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