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Missing not at random models for latent growth curve analyses.

Craig K Enders1

  • 1Department of Psychology, Arizona State University,Tempe, AZ 85287–1104, USA. craig.enders@asu.edu

Psychological Methods
|March 9, 2011
PubMed
Summary

This study introduces missing not at random (MNAR) models for longitudinal data, offering a weaker assumption than missing at random (MAR) models. These advanced statistical methods help reduce bias in substance use research and other fields.

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Area of Science:

  • Statistics
  • Biostatistics
  • Social Sciences

Background:

  • Traditional missing data techniques often assume data are missing at random (MAR).
  • MAR assumes missingness is related to observed variables, but this may not hold in longitudinal studies, especially with high attrition.
  • This can lead to biased parameter estimates in analyses.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To describe two classic missing not at random (MNAR) modeling approaches for longitudinal data: selection models and pattern mixture models.
  • To illustrate the application of these MNAR models using a real-world dataset.
  • To provide practical guidance for implementing and selecting appropriate longitudinal data models.

Main Methods:

  • Description of selection models and pattern mixture models for handling MNAR data.
  • Application of these models using structural equation modeling software (e.g., Mplus).
  • Illustration with a longitudinal substance use dataset.

Main Results:

  • MNAR models allow for a relationship between the outcome and the propensity for missing data, requiring weaker assumptions than MAR.
  • These models are now more accessible due to advancements in statistical software.
  • Despite advantages, MNAR analyses involve untestable assumptions and potential limitations.

Conclusions:

  • MNAR models offer a valuable alternative to MAR models for longitudinal data, particularly when attrition is related to the outcome.
  • The migration of these models to social sciences is facilitated by user-friendly software.
  • Researchers should be aware of the assumptions and limitations when applying MNAR analyses.