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Related Concept Videos

Hindsight Biases01:12

Hindsight Biases

Hindsight bias leads you to believe that the event you just experienced was predictable, even though it really wasn’t. In other words, you knew all along that things would turn out the way they did. Can you relate this to the phrase "Hindsight is 20/20" now?
Confirmation Biases01:31

Confirmation Biases

The confirmation bias is the tendency to focus on information that confirms our existing beliefs and ignore information that is inconsistent with our expectations. For example, if you think that your professor is not very nice, you notice all of the instances of rude behavior exhibited by the professor while ignoring the countless pleasant interactions he is involved in on a daily basis. Have you ever fallen prey to the confirmation bias, either as the source or target of such bias?
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Correspondence Bias01:17

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Related Experiment Video

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Measuring Attention and Visual Processing Speed by Model-based Analysis of Temporal-order Judgments
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Bayesian inference underlies the contraction bias in delayed comparison tasks.

Paymon Ashourian1, Yonatan Loewenstein

  • 1Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America. paymon@mit.edu

Plos One
|May 19, 2011
PubMed
Summary

This study reveals that the contraction bias in delayed comparison tasks arises from Bayesian computation, optimizing performance by combining noisy sensory data with prior knowledge. This bias occurs during memory retrieval, not encoding.

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Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Psychology
  • Neuroscience
  • Computational Neuroscience

Background:

  • Delayed comparison tasks are crucial for studying working memory and perception.
  • Decisions in these tasks exhibit a known bias, termed contraction bias.
  • This bias involves systematic overestimation or underestimation of stimulus magnitudes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the computational principles underlying the contraction bias.
  • To test the hypothesis that contraction bias results from Bayesian inference.
  • To determine if the bias originates during memory encoding or retrieval.

Main Methods:

  • A visual delayed comparison experiment was conducted.
  • The prior distribution of stimulus magnitudes was manipulated.
  • Uncertainty in the memorized stimulus representation was altered.
  • Choice behavior was analyzed to assess Bayesian inference.

Main Results:

  • Behavior was consistent with Bayesian inference, optimizing performance.
  • Manipulating prior distributions and stimulus uncertainty affected choice behavior as predicted by the Bayesian model.
  • The contraction bias was localized to memory retrieval/decision-making stages.

Conclusions:

  • The contraction bias can be explained by optimal Bayesian computation.
  • The brain combines noisy perceptual data with prior information to make decisions.
  • The bias emerges during the retrieval and decision process, not during initial memory encoding.