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Published on: March 10, 2020
Risk factors associated with typhoid fever in children aged 2-16 years in Karachi, Pakistan
M I Khan1, R L Ochiai, S B Soofi
1International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, South Korea.
Insights
Typhoid fever disproportionately affects younger children in Pakistan, particularly in densely populated areas lacking safe water access. Interventions addressing environmental and biological factors are crucial for prevention.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- Typhoid fever remains a significant public health concern in Pakistan.
- Understanding risk factors is crucial for effective prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify individual, household, and cluster-level risk factors for typhoid fever in children aged 2-16 years in Karachi.
- To inform targeted public health interventions.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from the control group of a typhoid vaccine trial.
- Risk factor assessment using logistic regression, adjusting for covariates.
- Calculation of risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).
Main Results:
- Annual typhoid incidence was 151 per 100,000 children.
- Risk decreased with increasing age (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.83-0.95).
- Risk increased with population density (RR 1.13, 95% CI 1.05-1.21) and decreased with safe water access (RR 0.63, 95% CI 0.41-0.99).
Conclusions:
- Typhoid fever in Pakistan is associated with younger age, high population density, and lack of safe drinking water.
- Integrated environmental and biological interventions are necessary to mitigate the impact of typhoid.
Abstract:
We analysed the data from the control group in a typhoid vaccine trial in Karachi to assess the differences in individual-, household- and cluster-level characteristics for developing typhoid fever. The annual incidence of typhoid in children aged 2-16 years in the control arm of the vaccine trial was 151/100 000 population. After adjustment, the risk of typhoid was lower with increasing age [risk ratio (RR) 0·89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0·83-0·95], was higher with an increase in population density (RR 1·13, 95% CI 1·05-1·21) and was lower in the households using a safe drinking-water source (RR 0·63, 95% CI 0·41-0·99). Typhoid fever affects younger children living in areas of high population density and lack of access to safe water in Pakistan. A combination of environmental and biological interventions is required to prevent the continued epidemiological and economic impact of typhoid fever in high-risk areas of Pakistan.
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