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Prognostic utility of the acute cardiac ischemia time-insensitive predictive instrument (ACI-TIPI)
Jonathan S Ilgen1, Alex F Manini, Udo Hoffmann
1Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Harborview Medical Centre, 325 9th Avenue, Box 325709, Seattle, WA 98104, USA. ilgen@uw.edu.
Insights
The acute cardiac ischemia time-insensitive predictive instrument (ACI-TIPI) shows limited ability to predict major adverse cardiac events (MACE). However, a low ACI-TIPI score may help identify patients with acute chest pain suitable for safe outpatient management.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Emergency Medicine
- Diagnostic Test Evaluation
Background:
- Patients presenting to the Emergency Department with symptoms of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) require accurate risk stratification.
- The acute cardiac ischemia time-insensitive predictive instrument (ACI-TIPI) is a tool used to assess cardiac risk.
- Evaluating the test characteristics of ACI-TIPI for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) is crucial for clinical decision-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the diagnostic test characteristics of the ACI-TIPI for predicting 30-day MACE in Emergency Department patients with symptoms suggestive of ACS.
- To examine the performance of various dichotomous cut points of the ACI-TIPI score.
Main Methods:
- A prospective cohort study was conducted with 144 Emergency Department patients presenting with acute chest pain.
- Baseline demographics, cardiac risk factors, and electrocardiogram (ECG) data were collected.
- The ACI-TIPI probability score was calculated, and its diagnostic accuracy for 30-day MACE (including NSTEMI, PCI, CABG, and all-cause mortality) was determined.
Main Results:
- Of 144 patients, 19 (13%) experienced MACE within 30 days.
- The ACI-TIPI demonstrated a c-statistic of 0.69 (95% CI 0.59-0.80), indicating limited overall discriminatory value.
- An ACI-TIPI score of ≥ 20 achieved 100% sensitivity and 100% negative predictive value, but only 21% specificity for MACE.
Conclusions:
- The ACI-TIPI has limited discriminatory power for overall MACE in this cohort.
- A low ACI-TIPI score (< 20) may possess prognostic utility for safely managing patients with acute chest pain as outpatients.
- Further validation is needed to confirm the role of ACI-TIPI in guiding outpatient management decisions.
Background:
We sought to evaluate the test characteristics of the acute cardiac ischemia time-insensitive predictive instrument (ACI-TIPI) in relation to 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE) among patients who presented to the Emergency Department with symptoms suggestive of an acute coronary syndrome. We then examined the test characteristics of various dichotomous ACI-TIPI cut points.
Methods:
We prospectively recruited a cohort of Emergency Department (ED) patients with acute chest pain at two urban university hospitals between June and September 2006. Upon enrollment, baseline demographics and cardiac risk factors were collected. An electrocardiogram (ECG) was performed and analyzed with the built-in ACI-TIPI multiple regression model software. An ACI-TIPI probability score was recorded for each patient. Diagnostic test characteristics of ACI-TIPI for MACE (non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI), percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass grafting, and all-cause mortality) within 30 days were determined.
Results:
Of 144 patients enrolled (mean age 59.1 ± 14.1 years, 59% men), 19 (13%) patients suffered MACE within 30 days. Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) for ACI-TIPI yielded a c-statistic of 0.69 (95% CI 0.59-0.80, p < 0.01). An ACI-TIPI score of ≥ 20 had 100% sensitivity (95% CI 82-100), 100% negative predictive value (95% CI 86-100), and 21% specificity (14-31%).
Conclusions:
These preliminary results suggest that, while ACI-TIPI has limited discriminatory value for MACE overall, a score of < 20 may have 30-day prognostic utility to allow for safe outpatient management in patients with acute chest pain.
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