Related Experiment Video
Updated: May 28, 2026

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Month of birth is associated with multiple sclerosis but not with HLA-DR15 in Finland
Kari-Pekka Saastamoinen1, Marja-Kaisa Auvinen, Pentti J Tienari
1Department of Neurology, Helsinki University Central Hospital and Program for Molecular Neurology, Biomedicum-Helsinki, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Background:
Spring birth has been found to be associated with increase in the risk of MS. However, this effect is reportedly found particularly in HLA-DR15 positive patients.
Objective:
Examine the month of birth (MOB) effect in Finnish MS patients and its association with HLA-DR15.
Methods:
Using the national register on hospitalizations during 1979-2004 we identified 8359 MS patients. We used a χ(2)-analysis to compare the distribution of MOB in MS patients versus age-adjusted controls. Patients were subdivided into 10-year birth cohorts to analyse temporal variations in MOB. A subgroup of HLA-typed MS patients (n = 657) and a population sample of healthy donors from the Finnish Bone Marrow Donor Registry (n = 19,805) were included to analyse connections between HLA-DR15 and MOB.
Results:
An April birth was associated with a 9.4% increased risk of MS (p = 0.008), whereas November birth was associated with an 11.1% decreased risk (p = 0.004) compared with the expected birth distribution. No temporal clustering in the MOB effect was found during 1900-1988. Both HLA-DR15 positive (34% increase, p = 0.043) and DR15 negative (48% increase, p = 0.0095) MS patients exhibited an increase in spring births (in May). HLA-DR15 in healthy subjects was not associated with MOB.
Conclusions:
We confirm that spring birth increases MS risk. This phenomenon was not associated with HLA-DR15 and there was no evidence of temporal clustering. The MOB effect suggests that early developmental processes may modulate MS risk.
Related Concept Videos
Multiple Sclerosis l: Introduction
Development of Immunocompetence
The initial cells that migrate from the fetal thymus settle within the skin and epithelial tissues lining the mouth, digestive tract, and in females, the uterus and vagina. These cells, including skin-based dendritic cells, serve as antigen-presenting cells, playing a key role in T cell activation.
Subsequent T...
