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Is optimism optimal? Functional causes of apparent behavioural biases
Alasdair I Houston1, Pete C Trimmer, Tim W Fawcett
1Modelling Animal Decisions (MAD) Group, School of Biological Sciences, University of Bristol, Woodland Road, Bristol BS8 1UG, UK. a.i.houston@bris.ac.uk
Animal behavior terms "optimism" and "pessimism" are often ill-defined and misleading. Applying optimal decision theory reveals these terms are better suited for informal use, emphasizing correct currency identification for evolutionary predictions.
Area of Science:
- Animal behavior
- Evolutionary biology
- Decision theory
Background:
- The terms 'optimism' and 'pessimism' are frequently used to describe animal behavior.
- Existing literature provides numerous examples of animals exhibiting seemingly optimistic or pessimistic actions.
- However, the application of these terms often lacks clear definition and can lead to confusion.
Purpose of the Study:
- To critically review the usage of 'optimism' and 'pessimism' in characterizing non-human animal behavior.
- To evaluate the appropriateness of these terms within the framework of optimal decision theory.
- To clarify common misunderstandings and propose a more precise application of these behavioral descriptors.
Main Methods:
- Literature review of studies using 'optimism' and 'pessimism' in animal behavior.
- Analysis of animal behavior through the lens of optimal decision theory and relevant currencies.
- Application of bandit models to understand long-term optimal strategies versus short-term apparent biases.
Main Results:
- The terms 'optimism' and 'pessimism' are often poorly defined in the context of animal behavior.
- Misidentification of currencies and payoffs can lead to misinterpretations of animal decision-making.
- Behaviors appearing suboptimal in the short term may be optimal for long-term survival and are better explained by models like bandit theory.
Conclusions:
- 'Optimism' and 'pessimism' are better restricted to informal descriptions of animal behavior.
- Accurate prediction of natural selection requires careful consideration of the relevant currency being maximized.
- A rigorous approach using decision theory and appropriate models offers a clearer understanding of animal behavior than subjective terms.
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