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Effects of the Bam earthquake on employment: a shift-share analysis
Nader Mehregan1, Ali Asgary, Rouhollah Rezaei
1Department of Economics, Bu-Ali Sina University, Iran.
Abstract:
Disasters have potential short-term and long-term impacts on employment and employment structures in affected regions. While measuring the full economic impact of a disaster requires sophisticated econometrics and mathematical simulations, conventional regional economic models such as shift-share analysis can be used to assess some of these effects. This paper applies shift-share analysis to understand potential long-term impacts of disasters on employment using the December 2003 Bam earthquake as a case study. The results provide further evidence that disasters could have significant long-term effects on the employment structure of affected regions.
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