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Projecting future drug expenditures--2012.

James M Hoffman1, Edward Li, Fred Doloresco

  • 1College of Pharmacy, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, MS, Memphis, TN 38105, USA. james.hoffman@stjude.org

American Journal of Health-System Pharmacy : AJHP : Official Journal of the American Society of Health-System Pharmacists
|February 21, 2012
PubMed
Summary

U.S. drug expenditures saw a 2.7% rise in 2010, driven by clinic growth and generic drug use. Projections for 2012 indicate a 3-5% increase in total drug spending.

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Area of Science:

  • Health Economics
  • Pharmaceutical Policy

Background:

  • U.S. drug expenditures represent a significant portion of healthcare spending.
  • Understanding expenditure trends is crucial for healthcare planning and resource allocation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze drug expenditure trends in 2010 and 2011.
  • To discuss factors influencing drug expenditures in 2012.
  • To project future drug spending across different healthcare settings.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of drug expenditure data from the IMS Health National Sales Perspectives database.
  • Examination of trends in total, hospital, and clinic drug expenditures.
  • Identification of key factors impacting drug spending.

Main Results:

  • Total U.S. drug expenditures increased by 2.7% from 2009 to 2010, reaching $307.5 billion.
  • Clinic drug expenditures grew by 6.0%, while hospital expenditures rose by 1.5% in the same period.
  • Generic drugs accounted for 78% of retail prescriptions in 2010, moderating overall growth.

Conclusions:

  • Projected total drug expenditures for 2012 are expected to increase by 3-5%.
  • Clinic-administered drug expenditures are projected to rise by 5-7%, outpacing hospital drug expenditures (0-2% increase).
  • Factors like new drug development, generic and biosimilar utilization, and drug shortages will influence future spending.