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Hypnotics' association with mortality or cancer: a matched cohort study
Daniel F Kripke1, Robert D Langer, Lawrence E Kline
1Scripps Clinic Viterbi Family Sleep Center, La Jolla, California, USA.
Hypnotic drug prescriptions are linked to a significantly increased risk of death, even at low doses. This association persists across various hypnotic medications and is not explained by underlying health conditions.
Area of Science:
- Pharmacology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Hypnotic drug use for insomnia is prevalent, with 6%-10% of US adults using them in 2010.
- Previous research suggests a potential link between hypnotic use and increased mortality.
- This study aimed to further investigate this association using a large patient cohort.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the association between hypnotic drug prescriptions and all-cause mortality.
- To examine the dose-response relationship between hypnotic use and mortality.
- To assess the impact of hypnotic use on cancer incidence.
Main Methods:
- A matched cohort survival analysis was conducted using longitudinal electronic medical records.
- 10,529 patients with hypnotic prescriptions were matched with 23,676 controls without prescriptions.
- Data were adjusted for multiple risk factors, and Cox proportional hazards models were used with extensive comorbidity matching.
Main Results:
- Patients prescribed any hypnotic drug showed substantially elevated hazards of dying (HRs ranging from 3.60 to 5.32).
- A clear dose-response association was observed, with higher hypnotic doses correlating with increased mortality risk.
- Hypnotic use was also associated with a significant elevation in incident cancer (HR=1.35), independent of pre-existing conditions.
Conclusions:
- Prescription hypnotic use is associated with a greater than threefold increased hazard of death, even at low annual pill counts (<18).
- This association was consistent across various commonly prescribed hypnotics, including newer short-acting agents.
- The observed excess mortality and cancer risk are not attributable to selective prescription for patients with poorer health.
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