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Related Concept Videos

Post-traumatic Stress Disorder01:27

Post-traumatic Stress Disorder

Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is a psychiatric condition that arises following exposure to traumatic events such as natural disasters, forced displacement, or severe accidents. It significantly impairs individuals' ability to cope with daily activities and disrupts their emotional and psychological equilibrium.
Symptoms and Behavioral Manifestations
A spectrum of distressing symptoms characterizes PTSD. Recurrent flashbacks, where individuals involuntarily relive traumatic events, are a...

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Related Experiment Video

Updated: May 24, 2026

Implementation of a Real-Time Psychosis Risk Detection and Alerting System Based on Electronic Health Records using CogStack
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Implementation of a Real-Time Psychosis Risk Detection and Alerting System Based on Electronic Health Records using CogStack

Published on: May 15, 2020

Predicting Future PTSD using a Modified New York Risk Score: Implications for Patient Screening and Management.

Joseph A Boscarino1, H Lester Kirchner, Stuart N Hoffman

  • 1Center for Health Research, Geisinger Clinic, Danville, PA.

Minerva Psichiatrica
|March 13, 2012
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

A new prospective version of the New York PTSD Risk Score effectively predicts posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) 12 months after trauma exposure. This enhanced screening tool improves patient management and follow-up care.

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Biomarkers in an Animal Model for Revealing Neural, Hematologic, and Behavioral Correlates of PTSD

Published on: October 10, 2012

Area of Science:

  • Psychiatry
  • Trauma Studies
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) poses significant long-term challenges for patient management.
  • Existing short-term PTSD screening tools require enhancement for accurate 12-month prospective prediction.
  • The New York City (NYC) adult population following the World Trade Center Disaster (WTCD) provides a unique cohort for PTSD research.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a prospective 12-month posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) risk score.
  • To enhance the predictive accuracy of PTSD screening for long-term outcomes.
  • To identify key psychosocial and demographic factors influencing long-term PTSD development.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized diagnostic test methods, including receiver operating curve (ROC) and bootstrap procedures.
  • Assessed 1,681 trauma-exposed adults from NYC after the WTCD.
  • Examined the predictive value of the Primary Care PTSD Screener (PCPS) combined with various risk factors.

Main Results:

  • The combination of PCPS with psychosocial predictors (depression, trauma exposure, sleep disturbance, healthcare access) improved the area under the ROC curve (AUC) from 0.707 to 0.774.
  • Further addition of risk factors (negative life events, handedness, self-esteem, pain status) increased AUC to 0.819.
  • Inclusion of Latino and foreign status further elevated AUC to 0.839, indicating significant predictive improvements.

Conclusions:

  • A prospective version of the New York PTSD Risk Score demonstrates effectiveness in predicting 12-month PTSD status in trauma-exposed adults.
  • The enhanced risk score integrates key psychosocial and demographic variables for improved long-term PTSD prediction.
  • Further research is recommended to validate and expand these predictive findings for clinical application.