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Updated: May 21, 2026

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Short and long term variation in ultraviolet radiation and multiple sclerosis
Cristina Menni1, Walter E Lowell, Joan Bentzen
1Department of Applied Health Sciences, University of Pavia, Via Bassi 21, 27100 Pavia, Italy. cristinamenni@gmail.com
Ultraviolet radiation (UVR) may influence multiple sclerosis (MS) risk and lifespan. This study found seasonal and solar cycle variations potentially linked to MS birth month and survival in diverse populations.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health
- Epidemiology
- Neurology
Background:
- Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neurological disease with complex etiology.
- Environmental factors, including ultraviolet radiation (UVR), are hypothesized to play a role in MS development and progression.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between UVR variations (seasonal and solar cycles) and MS.
- To examine the relationship between UVR and MS birth month and patient lifespan across different populations.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of MS case data from Italian, US (White and African American), and Danish registries.
- Statistical tests (Chi-square, t-tests) to assess correlations between UVR, birth month, and lifespan.
Main Results:
- A birth surplus in June was noted for White Americans with MS.
- Solar cycle variations showed an association with lifespan in White Americans with MS.
- Trends suggested potential roles for season and solar cycles in MS susceptibility and duration, though further validation is required.
Conclusions:
- UVR, influenced by seasons and solar cycles, may impact MS susceptibility and patient lifespan.
- These findings highlight the need for further research to elucidate the complex interplay between environmental factors and MS.
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