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Published on: May 10, 2021
Aortic valve calcium independently predicts coronary and cardiovascular events in a primary prevention population
David S Owens1, Matthew J Budoff, Ronit Katz
1Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195-6422, USA.
Insights
Aortic valve calcium (AVC) independently predicts cardiovascular and coronary events in individuals without prior heart disease, likely due to its link with atherosclerosis. Further research is needed on AVC and cardiovascular mortality.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Cardiology
- Atherosclerosis Research
Background:
- Aortic sclerosis is linked to cardiovascular issues in the elderly, but mechanisms and relevance in younger populations are unclear.
- The association between aortic valve calcium (AVC) and cardiovascular events needs further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if aortic valve calcium (AVC) is an independent predictor of coronary and cardiovascular events.
- To assess AVC's predictive value in a primary-prevention population free of clinical cardiovascular disease.
Main Methods:
- Prospective analysis of 6,685 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants (ages 45-84) without baseline cardiovascular disease.
- Computed tomography used for AVC and coronary artery calcium scoring.
- Cox proportional hazards regression analyzed the association between AVC and clinical events, with adjustments for demographics, risk factors, inflammatory biomarkers, and coronary atherosclerosis.
Main Results:
- Subjects with AVC (13.4%) had higher risks of cardiovascular events (HR: 1.50) and coronary events (HR: 1.72) after adjusting for demographics and risk factors.
- Adjustment for coronary artery calcium substantially attenuated these risks, indicating a strong correlation.
- AVC remained an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality (HR: 2.51) even after full adjustment.
Conclusions:
- In individuals without clinical cardiovascular disease, AVC predicts cardiovascular and coronary event risk independently of traditional risk factors and inflammatory biomarkers.
- The strong correlation between AVC and subclinical atherosclerosis likely explains its predictive power.
- The association of AVC with excess cardiovascular mortality beyond coronary atherosclerosis warrants further investigation.
Objectives:
This study sought to test whether aortic valve calcium (AVC) is independently associated with coronary and cardiovascular events in a primary-prevention population.
Background:
Aortic sclerosis is associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality among the elderly, but the mechanisms underlying this association remain controversial. Also, it is unknown whether this association extends to younger individuals.
Methods:
We performed a prospective analysis of 6,685 participants in MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). All subjects, ages 45 to 84 years and free of clinical cardiovascular disease at baseline, underwent computed tomography for AVC and coronary artery calcium scoring. The primary, pre-specified combined endpoint of cardiovascular events included myocardial infarctions, fatal and nonfatal strokes, resuscitated cardiac arrest, and cardiovascular death, whereas a secondary combined endpoint of coronary events excluded strokes. The association between AVC and clinical events was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression with incremental adjustments for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, inflammatory biomarkers, and subclinical coronary atherosclerosis.
Results:
Over a median follow-up of 5.8 years (interquartile range: 5.6 to 5.9 years), adjusting for demographics and cardiovascular risk factors, subjects with AVC (n = 894, 13.4%) had higher risks of cardiovascular (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.50; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.10 to 2.03) and coronary (HR: 1.72; 95% CI: 1.19 to 2.49) events compared with those without AVC. Adjustments for inflammatory biomarkers did not alter these associations, but adjustment for coronary artery calcium substantially attenuated both cardiovascular (HR: 1.32; 95% CI: 0.98 to 1.78) and coronary (HR: 1.41; 95% CI: 0.98 to 2.02) event risk. AVC remained predictive of cardiovascular mortality even after full adjustment (HR: 2.51; 95% CI: 1.22 to 5.21).
Conclusions:
In this MESA cohort, free of clinical cardiovascular disease, AVC predicts cardiovascular and coronary event risk independent of traditional risk factors and inflammatory biomarkers, likely due to the strong correlation between AVC and subclinical atherosclerosis. The association of AVC with excess cardiovascular mortality beyond coronary atherosclerosis risk merits further investigation. (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis [MESA]; NCT00005487).
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