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Published on: April 6, 2019
Sliding mode control of outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases
Yanni Xiao1, Xiaxia Xu, Sanyi Tang
1Department of Applied Mathematics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, PR China.
Abstract:
This paper proposes and analyzes a mathematical model of an infectious disease system with a piecewise control function concerning threshold policy for disease management strategy. The proposed models extend the classic models by including a piecewise incidence rate to represent control or precautionary measures being triggered once the number of infected individuals exceeds a threshold level. The long-term behaviour of the proposed non-smooth system under this strategy consists of the so-called sliding motion-a very rapid switching between application and interruption of the control action. Model solutions ultimately approach either one of two endemic states for two structures or the sliding equilibrium on the switching surface, depending on the threshold level. Our findings suggest that proper combinations of threshold densities and control intensities based on threshold policy can either preclude outbreaks or lead the number of infected to a previously chosen level.
Insights
This study introduces a mathematical model for infectious disease management using a threshold policy. The findings show that strategic control interventions can prevent outbreaks or maintain disease levels effectively.
Area of Science:
- Mathematical Biology
- Epidemiology
- Control Theory
Background:
- Classic epidemic models often lack dynamic control strategies.
- Implementing control measures based on infection thresholds is crucial for disease management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose and analyze a mathematical model for infectious disease systems incorporating a piecewise control function based on a threshold policy.
- To investigate the long-term dynamics and stability of the proposed non-smooth system.
Main Methods:
- Development of a piecewise mathematical model for infectious disease dynamics.
- Analysis of the system's long-term behavior, including sliding motion on the switching surface.
- Investigation of endemic states and sliding equilibrium.
Main Results:
- The model exhibits sliding motion, representing rapid switching between control and no control.
- Model solutions converge to endemic states or a sliding equilibrium depending on the threshold level.
- The study demonstrates that threshold-based policies can effectively manage disease spread.
Conclusions:
- A threshold policy with appropriate control intensity and density can prevent disease outbreaks.
- This strategy allows for maintaining the number of infected individuals at a predetermined level.
- The findings offer valuable insights for designing effective public health interventions.
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