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Long-term mortality in patients with stroke of undetermined etiology
Hyo Suk Nam1, Hyeon Chang Kim, Young Dae Kim
1Department of Neurology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 120-752, Korea.
Insights
Determining stroke etiology is crucial for prevention. Incomplete evaluations in acute ischemic stroke patients were linked to significantly higher long-term mortality, underscoring the need for thorough etiological work-up.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiovascular Research
- Public Health
Background:
- Stroke etiology determination is vital for effective stroke prevention strategies.
- A significant proportion of acute ischemic stroke cases have undetermined causes.
- Accurate etiological classification impacts patient prognosis and management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the long-term mortality and causes of death in patients with acute ischemic stroke based on etiological classification.
- To compare mortality rates in stroke patients with the general Korean population.
- To assess the impact of incomplete etiological evaluation on patient outcomes.
Main Methods:
- A 10-year prospective enrollment of consecutive acute ischemic stroke patients.
- Stroke etiology classification using the Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment criteria.
- Long-term mortality and cause of death ascertainment via death certificates and standardized mortality ratio calculation.
Main Results:
- 37% of 3278 enrolled patients had undetermined stroke subtypes (negative, multiple, or incomplete evaluation).
- Poor functional outcome at 3 months was more frequent in patients with incomplete evaluation (49.6%) compared to other subtypes (24.5%).
- Patients with incomplete evaluation exhibited the highest cumulative death rates (35.7% within 3 years), with multivariate analysis showing their mortality was second only to cardioembolism.
Conclusions:
- Incomplete etiological evaluation in acute ischemic stroke is associated with high long-term mortality.
- Thorough etiological work-up is essential for accurate stroke subtyping and prognostic assessment.
- Understanding stroke etiology improves patient management and guides prevention efforts.
Background And Purpose:
The determination of stroke etiology is essential for planning treatment for stroke prevention. However, the etiology of stroke is undetermined in many patients.
Methods:
During a 10-year period, consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke were enrolled. The stroke etiology was determined based on the Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment classification. Long-term mortality and causes of death were identified using death certificates. The standardized mortality ratio was calculated to compare the mortality in patients with stroke and that in the general Korean population.
Results:
In total, 3278 patients were enrolled and followed-up for a median of 3.4 years (interquartile range, 1.5-5.7). The stroke subtype was undetermined in 37% because of negative evaluation (21.2%), multiple causes (10.6%), and incomplete evaluation (4.8%). Poor functional outcome at 3 months (modified Rankin scale score >2) was more frequent in patients with an incomplete evaluation than in those with the other stroke subtypes (49.6% vs 24.5%; P<0.001). During follow-up, 781 patients (23.8%) died. The overall cumulative death rate was highest in patients with an incomplete evaluation (12.7% within 30 days, 25.5% within 1 year, and 35.7% within 3 years), followed by those with cardioembolism. Multivariate analysis after adjusting for covariates including initial stroke severity, the mortality of patients with an incomplete evaluation was second lowest after cardioembolism, whereas that in patients with a negative evaluation was low.
Conclusions:
Long-term mortality in patients with an incomplete evaluation was quite high. Etiologic work-up helps to better define the stroke subtype and determine the prognosis.
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