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Balance between absorbing and positive fixed points in resource consumption models.
Hilla Behar1, Nadav Shnerb, Yoram Louzoun
1Department of Mathematics, Bar Ilan University, Ramat Gan, Israel.
Summary
Improving resource efficiency with technology can paradoxically lower resource levels. Economic models show extreme parameter sensitivity, leading to potential collapse or sustainability, with stochastic simulations revealing nuanced transitions.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Systems Dynamics
- Technological Advancement
Background:
- Economic growth models typically examine resource usage but overlook the impact of enhanced technical skills on resource efficiency.
- The interplay between capital, resource consumption, and technical skill development requires detailed investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze a model incorporating resource usage by capital and parallel technical skill production.
- To investigate the effect of improving resource usage efficacy through advanced technologies.
Main Methods:
- Development of a theoretical model integrating resource consumption, capital, and technical skill.
- Analysis using ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and spatial stochastic simulations.
Main Results:
- Improving resource usage efficacy leads to a lower steady-state resource level.
- ODE realization shows extreme parameter sensitivity and hysteresis between economic collapse and sustainability.
- Stochastic simulations reveal coexistence of collapsed and sustainable states, with smooth transitions controlled by parameters.
Conclusions:
- Economic systems exhibit complex dynamics where technological improvements in resource efficiency can have unintended consequences.
- Hysteresis and stochasticity play crucial roles in the transition between economic collapse and sustainability.
- Diffusion dynamics influence capital growth, suggesting an optimal diffusion rate for economic stability, a phenomenon potentially applicable to ecological systems.
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