A mathematical model for coupling within-host and between-host dynamics in an environmentally-driven infectious
Zhilan Feng1, Jorge Velasco-Hernandez, Brenda Tapia-Santos
1Department of Mathematics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA. zfeng@math.purdue.edu
This study introduces a new model linking within- and between-host dynamics for Toxoplasma gondii infections. New reproductive numbers reveal how parasite transmission and stability are determined, potentially showing backward bifurcation.
Area of Science:
- Mathematical modeling
- Infectious disease dynamics
- Parasitology
Background:
- Toxoplasma gondii infection involves complex within- and between-host dynamics.
- Environmental contamination and inoculum size influence host acquisition.
- Different time scales characterize within- and between-host processes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a novel mathematical model integrating within- and between-host dynamics for T. gondii.
- To analyze the impact of environmental interactions and inoculum size on infection.
- To define and investigate new reproductive numbers for coupled host-parasite systems.
Main Methods:
- Singular perturbation argument to decouple fast (within-host) and slow (between-host) systems.
- Definition and analysis of novel reproductive numbers for isolated and coupled dynamics.
- Stability analysis of infection-free and endemic equilibrium points.
Main Results:
- The model successfully links within- and between-host dynamics for T. gondii.
- Reproductive numbers for the between-host system are naturally dependent on within-host parameters.
- The defined reproductive numbers dictate the stability of equilibrium points.
- The model suggests the possibility of a backward bifurcation.
Conclusions:
- The developed model provides a framework for understanding T. gondii transmission dynamics.
- New reproductive numbers are crucial for predicting infection persistence and stability.
- The interplay between within- and between-host processes is essential for disease dynamics and can lead to complex outcomes like backward bifurcation.
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