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A prospective study of risk factors for cardiovascular events among the elderly
Marcos Aparecido Sarria Cabrera1, Selma Maffei de Andrade, Arthur Eumann Mesas
1Discipline of Geriatrics, Postgraduate Program in Public Health, Universidade Estadual de Londrina, Paraná, Brazil. marcoscabrera@uol.com.br
Insights
In elderly individuals, hypertension, diabetes, metabolic syndrome, abdominal obesity, and hypertriglyceridemia significantly increase cardiovascular risk. Controlling these factors is crucial for preventing fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events in this population.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Cardiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Cardiovascular (CV) diseases remain a leading cause of mortality and morbidity in the elderly.
- Identifying modifiable CV risk factors is essential for effective prevention strategies in aging populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of various CV risk factors on the incidence of fatal and non-fatal CV events in elderly Brazilian outpatients.
- To determine which specific risk factors are most predictive of CV events in this demographic.
Main Methods:
- A 12-year prospective cohort study involving 800 elderly outpatients (aged 60-85).
- CV events (mortality, stroke, infarction, angina, heart failure) were tracked.
- Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze hypertension, diabetes, obesity, dyslipidemias, and metabolic syndrome, adjusting for confounders.
Main Results:
- 29.1% of participants experienced a CV event.
- Hypertension (HR: 1.69), diabetes (HR: 2.67), metabolic syndrome (HR: 1.61), abdominal obesity (HR: 1.36), hypertriglyceridemia (HR: 1.67), and high triglyceride/HDL-c ratio (HR: 1.73) were significant predictors.
- Hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia remained significant even when accounting for abdominal obesity.
Conclusions:
- Hypertension, diabetes, metabolic syndrome, abdominal obesity, and hypertriglyceridemia are key predictors of CV risk in the elderly.
- These findings underscore the importance of managing these specific CV risk factors in older adults.
- Effective control of these factors can mitigate the risk of cardiovascular events in this vulnerable age group.
Objective:
To analyze the impact of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors on the occurrence of fatal and non-fatal CV events in elderly individuals.
Methods:
The present research was a prospective cohort study of 800 elderly Brazilian outpatients (60 to 85 years old) with a 12-year follow-up period (baseline: 1997-1998). The outcome variable was CV mortality or non-fatal CV events (stroke, infarction, angina, heart failure). Hypertension, diabetes, global and abdominal obesity, dyslipidemias, and metabolic syndrome were analyzed as independent variables. The analyses were based on Cox proportional hazard models and adjusted for gender, age range, smoking, regular physical activity, and previous cardiovascular disease.
Results:
A total of 233 fatal and non-fatal CV events were observed (29.1%). In the adjusted analysis, the following variables were associated with CV risk: hypertension hazard ratio (HR): 1.69; confidence interval (CI) 95%: 1.28-2.24, diabetes (HR: 2.67; CI 95%: 1.98-3.61), metabolic syndrome (HR: 1.61; CI 95%: 1.24-2.09), abdominal obesity (HR: 1.36; CI 95%: 1.03-1.79), hypertriglyceridemia (HR: 1.67; CI 95%: 1.22-2.30) and high triglyceride/HDL-c ratio (HR: 1.73; CI 95%: 1.31-2.84). Hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia remained associated with CV risk regardless of abdominal obesity.
Conclusion:
In this prospective study, hypertension, diabetes, metabolic syndrome, abdominal obesity, and hypertriglyceridemia were predictors of CV risk in elderly individuals. These results confirm the relevance of controlling these CV risk factors in this age group.
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