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Published on: March 30, 2014
Mortality and treatment outcomes of China's National Pediatric antiretroviral therapy program
Yan Zhao1, Chunming Li, Xin Sun
1National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, PR China.
Insights
China's national pediatric antiretroviral therapy (ART) program shows 94% survival after 3 years. Key risk factors for mortality include low weight-for-age z-score and advanced disease stage, highlighting the program's effectiveness and need for expansion.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric infectious diseases
- Public health interventions
- HIV/AIDS clinical management
Background:
- China's national free pediatric antiretroviral therapy (ART) program aims to improve outcomes for children with HIV.
- Understanding 3-year mortality rates and risk factors is crucial for program optimization.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine 3-year mortality rates in children enrolled in China's national pediatric ART program.
- To identify risk factors associated with mortality.
- To assess long-term clinical outcomes, including CD4 counts and nutritional status.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of national HIV/AIDS and pediatric ART databases.
- Inclusion of HIV-positive children ≤15 years old who initiated ART before December 2010.
- Cox proportional hazards regression for mortality risk factors and generalized estimating equation models for longitudinal outcomes.
Main Results:
- Overall mortality rate of 2.31 per 100 child-years (CY) among 1818 children.
- Significant mortality risk factors: baseline weight-for-age z-score <-2 (aHR=9.1), WHO stage III/IV disease (aHR=2.4), and hemoglobin <90 g/L (aHR=2.2).
- Improved CD4%, hemoglobin, WAZ, and HAZ scores over 3 years of follow-up.
Conclusions:
- China's national pediatric ART program is effective, with 94% of children surviving and showing improved health after 3 years.
- Program expansion is recommended to meet treatment demands.
- Prioritizing early identification of HIV-positive children is essential.
Background:
The aim of this study was to describe 3-year mortality rates, associated risk factors, and long-term clinical outcomes of children enrolled in China's national free pediatric antiretroviral therapy (ART) program.
Methods:
Records were abstracted from the national human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/AIDS case reporting and national pediatric ART databases for all HIV-positive children ≤15 years old who initiated ART prior to December 2010. Mortality risk factors over 3 years of follow-up were examined using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Life tables were used to determine survival rate over time. Longitudinal plots of CD4(+) T-cell percentage (CD4%), hemoglobin level, weight-for-age z (WAZ) score, and height-for-age z (HAZ) score were created using generalized estimating equation models.
Results:
Among the 1818 children included in our cohort, 93 deaths were recorded in 4022 child-years (CY) of observed time for an overall mortality rate of 2.31 per 100 CY (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.75-2.78). The strongest factor associated with mortality was baseline WAZ score <-2 (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 9.1; 95% CI, 2.5-33.2), followed by World Health Organization stage III or IV disease (adjusted HR = 2.4; 95% CI, 1.1-5.2), and hemoglobin <90 g/L (adjusted HR = 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2-3.9). CD4%, hemoglobin level, WAZ score, and HAZ score increased over time.
Conclusions:
Our finding that 94% of children engaged in this program are still alive and of improved health after 3 years of treatment demonstrates that China's national pediatric ART program is effective. This program needs to be expanded to better meet treatment demands, and efforts to identify HIV-positive children earlier must be prioritized.
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