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Progression in comorbidity before hemodialysis initiation is a valuable predictor of survival in incident patients
Yee-Yung Ng1, Yen-Ni Hung, Shiao-Chi Wu
1Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, National Yang Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan. yyng@vghtpe.gov.tw
Insights
Comorbidity progression before hemodialysis (HD) initiation significantly impacts patient survival. Both the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score three years prior and its change predict mortality risk in incident HD patients.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Most studies focus on baseline comorbidity scores and survival in hemodialysis (HD) patients.
- Few studies examine the impact of comorbidity progression before HD initiation on patient survival.
- The Romano-Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) quantifies disease burden.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the effect of comorbidity progression score (CCIp) on the survival of incident HD patients.
- To determine if CCIp, calculated as the change in CCI score before HD initiation, predicts mortality.
- To analyze risk markers associated with survival in this cohort.
Main Methods:
- A historical cohort study using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database.
- Recruited 7391 adult incident HD patients initiating HD in 2006, followed through 2007.
- Analyzed data using the Romano-Charlson method for CCI scoring, log-rank tests, and Cox regression models.
Main Results:
- Common comorbidities included diabetes, ulcers, heart failure, chronic pulmonary disease, and cerebrovascular disease.
- A higher CCI score at three years prior (CCI-3) and an increasing CCI progression score (CCIp) were associated with reduced survival.
- Each one-point increase in CCI-3 (HR=1.69) and CCIp (HR=1.22) significantly affected survival.
Conclusions:
- The CCI score three years before HD initiation (CCI-3) is a significant predictor of survival.
- Comorbidity progression score (CCIp) before HD initiation is a valuable predictor of survival in incident HD patients.
- These pre-dialysis comorbidity measures aid in risk stratification for hemodialysis patients.
Background:
Most studies investigate the association between the baseline Romano-Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and survival on hemodialysis (HD). Few consider the effect of progression in the CCI score (CCIp) on patient survival before HD initiation. That is CCIp = CCI-1 - CCI-3, where CCI(-1) is the CCI score in the first year before HD initiation, and CCI-3 is the CCI score in the third year before HD initiation. The present study investigated whether CCIp affects the survival of incident HD patients.
Methods:
Using the National Health Insurance (NHI) Research Database of Taiwan, we recruited 7391 adult incident HD patients in the year 2006 for this historical cohort study. We followed the cohort until the end of 2007. Using the Romano-Charlson method, each comorbidity was assigned a score of 1, 2, 3 or 6. The scores were then summed to produce a total score (CCI), which predicts mortality. The log-rank test and a Cox regression model were used to analyze the association between CCIp and survival, and the risk markers of survival.
Results:
Diabetes, ulcers, congestive heart failure, chronic pulmonary disease and cerebrovascular disease were the most common comorbid conditions. The median CCI-3 was 2 (interquartile range 0-3). The overall survival rate in 1 year was 82.8%. In incident patients with a CCI-3 score of <3, the rate was 85.1%, and in patients with a CCI-3 score of ≥ 3, the rate was 76.8%. Each increase of one point in the CCI-3 score (HR = 1.69, 95% CI 1.42-2.01) and the CCIp (HR = 1.22, 95% CI 1.17-1.27) affected survival in HD patients.
Conclusions:
The CCI-3 and CCIp before HD initiation are valuable predictors of survival in incident patients.
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