Unrecognized myocardial infarction and risk of atrial fibrillation: the Rotterdam Study

Bouwe P Krijthe1, Maarten J G Leening, Jan Heeringa

  • 1Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Aging (NCHA), The Netherlands.

Insights

Unrecognized myocardial infarction doubles atrial fibrillation risk in men. This risk remains significant even after accounting for common cardiovascular factors. Women showed no increased risk.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Myocardial infarction (MI) increases atrial fibrillation (AF) risk.
  • Many MIs go unrecognized, and their association with AF risk is unclear.
  • Investigating unrecognized MI's impact on AF development is crucial for cardiovascular health.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine if electrocardiographic signs of unrecognized myocardial infarction (UMI) increase atrial fibrillation (AF) risk.
  • To assess the association between UMI and incident AF in a prospective, population-based cohort.

Main Methods:

  • The Rotterdam Study cohort, comprising 6175 participants (2505 men, 3670 women) without baseline AF.
  • Participants classified into groups: recognized MI, ECG-based unrecognized MI, or no MI.
  • AF incidence ascertained through ECGs and medical records over an average 11.7-year follow-up.

Main Results:

  • Unrecognized myocardial infarction (UMI) was associated with a 2.21-fold increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in men.
  • This association in men remained independent of age and cardiovascular risk factors.
  • No significant association between UMI and AF was observed in women (HR: 0.92).

Conclusions:

  • Unrecognized myocardial infarction (UMI) significantly increases the risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) in men.
  • This association is independent of established cardiovascular risk factors, highlighting UMI as a critical predictor.
  • The findings suggest sex-specific differences in the relationship between UMI and AF.
Abstract

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