Related Experiment Video
Updated: May 15, 2026

Catheter Ablation in Combination With Left Atrial Appendage Closure for Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: February 26, 2013
Unrecognized myocardial infarction and risk of atrial fibrillation: the Rotterdam Study
Bouwe P Krijthe1, Maarten J G Leening, Jan Heeringa
1Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; Netherlands Consortium for Healthy Aging (NCHA), The Netherlands.
Insights
Unrecognized myocardial infarction doubles atrial fibrillation risk in men. This risk remains significant even after accounting for common cardiovascular factors. Women showed no increased risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Myocardial infarction (MI) increases atrial fibrillation (AF) risk.
- Many MIs go unrecognized, and their association with AF risk is unclear.
- Investigating unrecognized MI's impact on AF development is crucial for cardiovascular health.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if electrocardiographic signs of unrecognized myocardial infarction (UMI) increase atrial fibrillation (AF) risk.
- To assess the association between UMI and incident AF in a prospective, population-based cohort.
Main Methods:
- The Rotterdam Study cohort, comprising 6175 participants (2505 men, 3670 women) without baseline AF.
- Participants classified into groups: recognized MI, ECG-based unrecognized MI, or no MI.
- AF incidence ascertained through ECGs and medical records over an average 11.7-year follow-up.
Main Results:
- Unrecognized myocardial infarction (UMI) was associated with a 2.21-fold increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in men.
- This association in men remained independent of age and cardiovascular risk factors.
- No significant association between UMI and AF was observed in women (HR: 0.92).
Conclusions:
- Unrecognized myocardial infarction (UMI) significantly increases the risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) in men.
- This association is independent of established cardiovascular risk factors, highlighting UMI as a critical predictor.
- The findings suggest sex-specific differences in the relationship between UMI and AF.
Background:
Persons with a clinically recognized myocardial infarction are at increased risk for atrial fibrillation. However a large proportion of all myocardial infarctions remain clinically unrecognized. Whether subjects with electrocardiographic signs of an unrecognized myocardial infarction are also at an increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation is unknown. The objective of this study was to investigate whether unrecognized myocardial infarction was associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation in a prospective population-based cohort study.
Methods:
The study is set within the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study. The study population comprised 2505 men and 3670 women without atrial fibrillation at baseline. Participants were classified based on electrocardiography, interview, and clinical data into those with recognized myocardial infarction, those with ECG based unrecognized myocardial infarction and those without myocardial infarction. Atrial fibrillation was ascertained from ECG assessments as well as medical records.
Results:
During a mean follow-up of 11.7 years (SD 5.0), 329 men and 398 women developed atrial fibrillation. Unrecognized myocardial infarction was associated with a two-fold risk of developing atrial fibrillation in men (HR: 2.21, 95%CI:1.51 to 3.23) compared to men without a history of myocardial infarction, independent of age, and cardiovascular risk factors. In women, unrecognized myocardial infarction was not associated with atrial fibrillation (HR: 0.92, 95%CI:0.59 to 1.44).
Conclusion:
The presence of an unrecognized myocardial infarction is associated with a twofold increased risk of atrial fibrillation in men, independent of known cardiovascular risk factors.
Related Concept Videos
Acute Coronary Syndrome III: Diagnostic Studies
Acute Coronary Syndrome II: Pathophysiology and Clinical Manifestations
Rheumatic Heart Disease II: Clinical Manifestations and Diagnostic Studies
Acute Coronary Syndrome I: Introduction

