AIDS and HIV in Wisconsin: projections for the decade

Based on a projection model developed by the Wisconsin AIDS/HIV Program, at the beginning of 1990 there were between 7,143 and 11,957 HIV-infected persons in Wisconsin. During the 1990s the cumulative number of HIV-infected persons in the state may more than double to between 16,471 and 25,932. We project that between 6,329 and 9,489 new cases of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), and between 3,577 and 5,365 AIDS deaths will occur in Wisconsin in next ten years. This is a greater than 13-fold increase in AIDS cases over the 1980s. By the end of the 1990s, the number of persons living with AIDS is projected to be ten-fold greater than the currently estimated number. To make plans for the future, policy makers need to be aware of this expected large increase in HIV-related morbidity and mortality.