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Business Cycles and Divorce: Evidence from Microdata.

Judith K Hellerstein¹, Melinda Sandler Morrill, Ben Zou

¹University of Maryland, Department of Economics and MPRC, and NBER, 3105 Tydings Hall, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742.

Economics Letters

|May 4, 2013

Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Divorce rates tend to increase during economic downturns, particularly affecting women who married young or lack a college education. This pro-cyclical divorce trend highlights economic influences on marital stability.

Keywords:

Business Cycles Divorce Marital Dissolution Unemployment Rate

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Area of Science:

Sociology
Economics
Demography

Background:

Marital dissolution is influenced by various socioeconomic factors.
Understanding the cyclical nature of divorce provides insights into societal and economic pressures on families.

Purpose of the Study:

To investigate the relationship between economic cycles and divorce rates.
To identify demographic groups most affected by pro-cyclical divorce.

Main Methods:

Utilized individual-level data for comprehensive analysis.
Employed a wide range of control variables to ensure robustness of findings.

Main Results:

Divorce exhibits a pro-cyclical pattern on average.
This trend is predominantly observed among women with early marriage histories and/or lower educational attainment.

Conclusions:

Economic conditions significantly impact marital stability.
Vulnerable demographic groups, specifically young women and those without college degrees, are disproportionately affected by economic downturns leading to divorce.