Predictors of surgical outcome in patients undergoing aortobifemoral bypass reconstruction

We report a prospective study with 2 years of follow-up including 105 consecutive symptomatic patients (58.1% claudication and 41.9% severe ischemia) undergoing aortobifemoral bypass surgery (ABF/BP). Proportional-hazards, stepwise regression, and life-table analyses were used to determine predictors of the following outcome criteria: graft patency, amputation, mortality, symptomatic recurrence, and palliation. The operative mortality was 5.7% and the 2-year cumulative mortality was 15.5%. Most deaths (61.5%) were cardiac-related. There were 3 predictors of mortality: the presence of more than 1 surgical risk factor (relative risk [RR] 6.2; p less than 0.001), advanced age (RR 2.9; p = 0.03) and the presence of ischemic heart disease (RR 1.5; p = 0.045). No patient required amputation. Early graft patency rate was 94.3% and the 2-year cumulative patency was 92.8%. The only predictor of graft failure was preoperative ankle/brachial index (ABI) of less than 0.4 (RR 6.1; p = 0.003). Early symptomatic relief was 98.1% and at 2 years it was 77.3%. There were 2 predictors of symptomatic recurrence: postoperative smoking (RR 2.4; p less than 0.001) and impaired runoff (RR 2.5; p = 0.017). Cumulative palliation was 87.6% at 1 month and 66.5% at 2 years postoperatively. There were 2 predictors of palliation: the presence of more than 1 surgical risk-factor (RR 1.8; p = 0.001) and postoperative transcutaneous oximetry (PtcO2) of less than 35 mmHg (RR 3.1; p = 0.04). We conclude that the best predictors of outcome in patients undergoing ABF/BP surgery were the number of preoperative risk factors, age, ischemic heart disease, ABI, PtcO2, postoperative smoking, and angiographic runoff.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)