Positive predictive value of clinically suspected ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction using angiographic
Søren Becker1, Gro Chisholm, Michael Maeng
1Department of Cardiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Skejby, Denmark.
Insights
In Denmark, a significant number of suspected ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) cases were not confirmed by angiography. This highlights the risks of using fibrinolysis without definitive diagnosis in STEMI patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Interventional Cardiology
- Emergency Medicine
Background:
- Fibrinolysis is no longer used for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in Denmark since 2005.
- Acute coronary angiography is standard for suspected STEMI cases in Denmark.
- Assessing the accuracy of STEMI diagnosis is crucial for appropriate treatment selection.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the positive predictive value of clinically suspected ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in a real-world setting.
- To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of suspected STEMI when all patients undergo acute coronary angiography.
- To identify patient subgroups with lower positive predictive values for STEMI.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective evaluation of consecutive patients with suspected STEMI admitted to Aarhus University Hospital (September 2010 - August 2011).
- Definition of conclusive STEMI as an identifiable culprit lesion confirmed by angiography.
- Comparison of clinical characteristics between patients with and without conclusive STEMI.
Main Results:
- Out of 615 suspected STEMI patients, 483 (79%) had conclusive STEMI.
- Patients without conclusive STEMI were more likely to have diabetes mellitus, left bundle branch block, hypertension, or prior coronary artery bypass surgery.
- Positive predictive values for STEMI were notably lower in patients with left bundle branch block (26%) and prior coronary artery bypass surgery (41%).
Conclusions:
- A substantial proportion of patients suspected of STEMI do not have a confirmed culprit lesion upon angiography.
- Conditions like left bundle branch block and prior coronary artery bypass surgery are associated with lower positive predictive values for STEMI.
- These findings underscore the importance of acute angiography in avoiding unnecessary and potentially harmful fibrinolysis in patients with suspected STEMI.
Abstract:
Fibrinolysis has not been used for the treatment of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in Denmark since 2005. We aimed to assess the positive predictive value of clinically suspected STEMI among consecutive patients in a real-world setting where all patients with suspected STEMI undergo acute coronary angiography. We evaluated the clinical diagnosis of consecutive patients with suspected STEMI admitted to Aarhus University Hospital between September 1, 2010, and August 31, 2011. Conclusive STEMI was defined as a patient with an identifiable culprit lesion by angiography. Of 615 patients with suspected STEMI, 483 (79%) had conclusive STEMI, and 132 (21%) did not have an identifiable culprit lesion. A higher proportion of patients with conclusive STEMI were men, whereas patients without conclusive STEMI were more likely to have diabetes mellitus (16% vs 10%; p = 0.04), left bundle branch block (24% vs 2%; p <0.001), hypertension (48% vs 36%; p = 0.01), or a history of coronary artery bypass surgery (8% vs 2%; p = 0.001). Compared with the overall 79% with conclusive STEMI, patients with left bundle branch block or a history of coronary artery bypass surgery had positive predictive values of only 26% and 41%, respectively. Our findings thus indicate that a substantial number of patients would have received fibrinolysis, without any potential benefit but with the inherent risk of bleeding complications, if acute angiography had not been an option.
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