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A ranking-theoretic approach to conditionals.

Wolfgang Spohn1

  • 1Department of Philosophy, University of Konstanz, Germany. wolfgang.spohn@uni-konstanz.de

Cognitive Science
|August 10, 2013
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study proposes an expressivistic semantics for conditional beliefs, using ranking theory instead of probability theory. This approach offers a flexible framework for understanding diverse uses of conditionals, including counterfactuals and causal statements.

Keywords:
Conditional beliefConditionalsCounterfactualsExpressivismRamsey testRanking theoryRelevanceTruth conditions for conditionals

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Area of Science:

  • Philosophy of Language
  • Logic
  • Cognitive Science

Background:

  • Conditional beliefs are bi-propositional attitudes, unlike unconditional beliefs, and are not typically truth-evaluable.
  • Existing probability theories inadequately represent belief states for conditional semantics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop an expressivistic semantics for conditionals grounded in a robust theory of conditional belief.
  • To provide a unified framework for understanding various uses of conditionals, including counterfactuals and causal statements.

Main Methods:

  • Adopting ranking theory as the foundation for conditional belief representation.
  • Developing various expressive options within ranking theory to interpret diverse conditional statements.
  • Analyzing the Ramsey test and relevance as initial expressive options.

Main Results:

  • Ranking theory provides a suitable basis for an expressivistic semantics of conditionals.
  • A general interpretive scheme is established to accommodate varied conditional usage.
  • New expressive options are introduced, encompassing counterfactual and causal conditionals.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed expressivistic semantics offers a more adequate account of conditionals than probability-based approaches.
  • The framework allows for a nuanced understanding of conditional belief and its expression.
  • The study outlines a path towards partially recovering truth conditions for conditionals within this framework.