Related Experiment Video
Updated: May 8, 2026

Comparative Proteomic Analysis of Whole Kidney, Medulla, and Cortical Tubules in Diabetic Pathogenesis of Kidney Injury in Mice
Published on: May 2, 2025
Risks of diabetic nephropathy with variation in hemoglobin A1c and fasting plasma glucose
Cheng-Chieh Lin1, Ching-Chu Chen, Fei-Na Chen
1Department of Family Medicine, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan; School of Medicine, College of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan; Department of Medical Research, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan.
Insights
Annual variations in glycosylated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) significantly predict diabetic nephropathy in type 2 diabetes patients. Reducing glucose variability may be a future therapeutic target.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Nephrology
- Diabetes Mellitus Research
Background:
- Type 2 diabetes is a leading cause of chronic kidney disease.
- Diabetic nephropathy risk is multifactorial, including glycemic control.
- The role of glycemic variability in predicting nephropathy requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if annual variations in HbA1c and FPG predict diabetic nephropathy.
- To assess the independent predictive value of glycemic variability (CV) against mean glucose levels.
- To evaluate these associations in patients with type 2 diabetes.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression model.
- Analyzed data from 3220 type 2 diabetes patients aged ≥30 years, free of nephropathy at baseline.
- Included variables such as mean HbA1c, mean FPG, and other risk factors.
Main Results:
- Higher tertiles of annual HbA1c-CV and FPG-CV were associated with increased diabetic nephropathy incidence.
- Multivariate analysis showed significant hazard ratios for HbA1c-CV (1.58 for highest tertile) and FPG-CV (4.75 for highest tertile).
- Risk stratification revealed varying impacts of glycemic variability based on age, gender, renal function, and hypertension.
Conclusions:
- Annual variations in FPG and HbA1c are strongly associated with diabetic nephropathy in type 2 diabetes.
- Glycemic variability, particularly FPG-CV, appears to be an independent predictor of nephropathy.
- Further studies are needed to confirm if interventions targeting glucose variation can reduce nephropathy risk.
Background:
This study examined whether annual variation in glycosylated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG), as represented by the coefficient of variation (CV), can predict diabetic nephropathy independently of mean FPG, mean HbA1c, and other risk factors in patients with type 2 diabetes.
Methods:
A computerized database of patients with type 2 diabetes aged ≥30 years and free of diabetic nephropathy (n = 3220) who were enrolled in the Diabetes Care Management Program of China Medical University Hospital before 2007 was used in a time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression model.
Results:
The incidence rates of diabetic nephropathy were 16.11, 22.95, and 28.86 per 1000 person-years in the first, second, and third tertiles of baseline HbA1c-CV, respectively; the corresponding incidence rates for FPG-CV were 9.46, 21.23, and 37.51 per 1000 person-years, respectively. After multivariate adjustment, the corresponding hazard ratios for the second and third tertiles versus the first tertile of annual HbA1c-CV were 1.18 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.88-1.58) and 1.58 (95% CI, 1.19-2.11), respectively, and 1.55 (95% CI, 0.99-2.41) and 4.75 (95% CI, 3.22-7.01) for FPG-CV, respectively. The risks of diabetic nephropathy for HbA1c-CV and FPG-CV stratified according to age, gender, renal function, and hypertension status were provided.
Conclusions:
Annual FPG and HbA1c variations have a strong association with diabetic nephropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes. Whether intervention for reducing glucose variation should be administered needs to be examined in a future study.
Related Concept Videos
Diabetic Nephropathy
Hyperglycemia
Diabetes: Symptoms, Diagnosis, and Complications
Type II Diabetes Mellitus III: Clinical Manifestations and Diagnosis
Diabetic Retinopathy
Diabetes Mellitus: Type 2 and Gestational
