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Published on: May 10, 2019
Estimating Net Interracial Mobility in the U.S. A Residual Methods Approach
Anthony Daniel Perez1, Charles Hirschman
1Department of Sociology and Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195-3340.
Sociological Methodology
|October 1, 2013
Summary
This study introduces a novel residual methods approach to track social mobility across racial and ethnic groups. Findings reveal a slight but measurable shift of individuals from non-Hispanic white to minority populations.
Area of Science:
- Demography
- Sociology
- Population Studies
Background:
- Traditional demographic models do not account for shifts in racial identification.
- Racial and ethnic identities are increasingly viewed as personal choices, influencing population dynamics.
- Understanding these shifts is crucial for accurate population change analysis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and apply a residual methods approach for quantifying interracial mobility.
- To estimate the impact of racial identity shifts on U.S. race/ethnic sub-population growth.
- To analyze patterns of social mobility across race/ethnic categories over the past 25 years.
Main Methods:
- Derived a reduced-form population balancing equation.
- Utilized period life table data to estimate survival.
- Adjusted for changes in racial measurement and census coverage.
- Analyzed Census and American Community Survey (ACS) microdata.
Main Results:
- Identified net interracial mobility among the native-born population.
- Observed a small but consistent drift from the non-Hispanic white population to minority groups.
- Found variations in mobility patterns by age and across different time periods.
Conclusions:
- Racial identity shifts represent a significant, though often unmeasured, component of population change.
- The residual methods approach offers a viable way to estimate net interracial mobility.
- Future demographic accounting should incorporate the dynamic nature of racial identification.
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