Acute cough illness in general practice - predictive value of clinical judgement and accuracy of requesting chest...

The aim of the study was to evaluate the accuracy of GPs' initial clinical judgement regarding presence or absence of pneumonia and to assess GPs' strategy for requesting chest X-rays in patients presenting with acute cough. GPs were asked to rate their suspicion of pneumonia based on clinical assessment alone and to protocol their decision to perform chest X-rays in 212 consecutive patients. These judgements were compared to the final diagnosis as determined by chest X-ray or uneventful recovery (four weeks). After history taking and physical examination, GPs are highly accurate in judging which patients presenting with acute cough may have pneumonia (PPV 80% [95% CI 0,66-0,89]) or not (NPV 100% [95% CI 0,97-1,0]), and in which patients chest X-rays are required or not (spearman's rho 0,54, p<0,0001).