Prediction of the power of detection of marker-quantitative trait locus linkages using analysis of variance

Analysis of variance can be used to detect the linkage of segregating quantitative trait loci (QTLs) to molecular markers in outbred populations. Using independent full-sib families and assuming linkage equilibrium, equations to predict the power of detection of a QTL are described. These equations are based on an hierarchical analysis of variance assuming either a completely random model or a mixed model, in which the QTL effect is fixed. A simple prediction of power from the mean squares is used that assumes a random model so that in the mixed-model situation this is an approximation. Simulation is used to illustrate the failure of the random model to predict mean squares and, hence, the power. The mixed model is shown to provide accurate prediction of the mean squares and, using the approximation, of power.