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May autonomic indices from cardiovascular variability help identify hypertension?
Daniela Lucini1, Nadia Solaro, Massimo Pagani
1aSezione Medicina dell'Esercizio e Sindromi Funzionali, Dipartimento di Riabilitazione e Recupero Funzionale, Humanitas Clinical and Research Center bDipartimento di Statistica e Metodi Quantitativi, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca cCentro di ricerca Terapia Neurovegetativa e Medicina dell'esercizio, Dipartimento Scienze Biomediche e Cliniche, Università degli Studi di Milano, U.O. Telemedicina e Medicina dello Sport, Ospedale 'Luigi Sacco', Milano, Italy.
Autonomic nervous system proxies, including heart rate variability and baroreflex gain, can accurately identify hypertension. A small set of these proxies, along with age and sex, effectively distinguishes hypertensive and normotensive individuals.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Physiology
- Autonomic Nervous System Function
- Hypertension Research
Background:
- Hypertensive individuals exhibit altered heart rate (RR) variability and reduced baroreflex gain.
- These autonomic markers serve as key indicators of cardiovascular health.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if autonomic proxies can identify clinical hypertension using logistic models.
- To assess the predictive power of autonomic markers in distinguishing hypertensive and normotensive groups.
Main Methods:
- An observational study involving 405 participants (155 mild hypertensive, 250 controls).
- Statistical analysis included descriptive statistics, logistic regression modeling, variable selection, and concordance analysis.
- Cross-validation techniques were employed to refine predictive models.
Main Results:
- The most complete logistic model (Model D), incorporating autonomic indices (RR variability, baroreflex gain), age, and sex, achieved the highest accuracy (82.7%).
- Predictive performance improved with model complexity, with Model D showing a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.767 and negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.866.
- A parsimonious set of autonomic proxies (Mean RR, ΔRRLFnu, baroreflex gain) combined with age and sex demonstrated high discriminant and predictive power (accuracy 80.5%).
Conclusions:
- A small subset of indirect autonomic proxies, alongside age and sex, can effectively identify hypertensive and normotensive groups.
- The clinical utility of these findings warrants further investigation.
- Autonomic profiling shows promise for non-invasive hypertension detection.
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