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Exploratory randomized controlled trial evaluating the impact of a waiting list control design
John A Cunningham1, Kypros Kypri, Jim McCambridge
1Centre for Mental Health Research, the Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. john.cunningham@anu.edu.au.
Waiting list control designs in behavioral research may inflate intervention effects. This study found potential overestimation, suggesting careful assessment of this threat to valid inference in trials.
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Behavioral Science
- Clinical Research Methodology
Background:
- Waiting list control designs are common in psychological and behavioral intervention research.
- These designs may artificially inflate intervention effect estimates.
- This study explores this potential bias in problem drinker interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To test the proposition that waiting list control designs inflate intervention effect estimates.
- To investigate the impact of waiting list control conditions on brief interventions for problem drinkers.
Main Methods:
- An exploratory randomized controlled trial with 185 participants.
- Participants received a brief personalized feedback intervention.
- Random allocation to either immediate intervention or a four-week waiting list control group.
Main Results:
- 157 participants (85%) completed the 4-week follow-up.
- A between-group difference was observed in one of four outcomes (safe drinking guidelines).
- An interaction showed that participant change was arrested in those ready to change and assigned to the waiting list.
Conclusions:
- Trials using waiting list controls may overestimate treatment effects.
- The extent of bias likely varies across different study populations.
- Waiting list controls should be used cautiously, with careful assessment of the threat to valid inference.
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