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Published on: August 11, 2023
[Validation of ABCD3 score in the predication of stroke risk after transient ischemic attack]
Yuan-yuan Wang1, Bo Song1, Hui Fang1
1Department of Neurology, First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China.
Insights
The ABCD(3) score effectively predicts stroke risk following transient ischemic attack (TIA). This score demonstrated higher accuracy than the ABCD(2) score in identifying patients at risk for early stroke.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Transient ischemic attack (TIA) is a critical warning sign for future stroke.
- Accurate risk stratification is essential for timely intervention after TIA.
- Existing scoring systems require evaluation for improved predictive accuracy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the ABCD(3) score for predicting early stroke risk post-TIA.
- To identify factors influencing early stroke risk after TIA.
- To compare the predictive performance of ABCD(3) versus ABCD(2) scores.
Main Methods:
- Prospective data collection from 321 TIA patients (October 2010 - September 2012).
- Calculation of ABCD(2) and ABCD(3) scores within 7 days of TIA.
- Logistic regression and Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUROCC) analysis for stroke prediction at 90 days.
Main Results:
- 38 (11.8%) patients experienced ischemic stroke within 90 days.
- Dual TIA, history of stroke, and unilateral weakness were significant risk factors.
- The ABCD(3) score (AUROCC=0.733) showed significantly higher predictive accuracy than the ABCD(2) score (AUROCC=0.674) (P < 0.05).
Conclusions:
- The ABCD(3) score is a valuable tool for predicting early stroke risk after TIA.
- The ABCD(3) score offers improved risk stratification compared to the ABCD(2) score.
- Identification of specific risk factors aids in targeted patient management.
Unlabelled:
Objective To explore the evaluation of ABCD(3) score in the prediction of stroke risk after transient ischemic attack and the influencing factors of early stroke risks.
Methods:
From October 2010 to September 2012, the data were prospectively collected from patients with transient ischemic attack according to the World Health Organization time-based criteria. ABCD(2) and ABCD(3) scores were available within 7 days of index transient ischemic attack. The predictive outcome was stroke occurrence at 90 days. Risks of stroke stratified according to the score were analysed by Logistic regression. And ABCD(2) and ABCD(3) model were compared by AUROCC.
Results:
Among 321 eligible patients, 4 cases were lost to follow-up. There were 38(11.8%) patients with ischemic stroke during a 90-day follow-up, including 22(57.9%) males, 16(42.1%) females. There were no occurrence of death, no hemorrhagic stroke. Multivariate analysis revealed that dual TIA (OR = 4.116, 95%CI 1.284-3.195) , history of stroke (OR = 4.022, 95%CI 1.472-10.944) and unilateral weakness (OR = 3.117, 95%CI 1.222-7.948) were the risk factors of early stroke. The ABCD(3) score (0.733, 95% CI,0.0.681-0.780) was statistically higher than that of ABCD(2) score (0.674, 95%CI, 0.619-0.725) (P < 0.05).
Conclusion:
ABCD(3) may effectively predict early risk of stroke after TIA.
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