Rationale and design of the PREDICT (Plaque Registration and Evaluation Detected In Computed Tomography) registry

At least two-thirds of cases of acute coronary syndrome are caused by disruption of an atherosclerotic plaque. The natural history of individual plaques is unknown and needs to be established.

The Plaque Registration and Evaluation Detected In Computed Tomography (PREDICT) registry is a prospective, multicenter, longitudinal, observational registry. This registry was designed to examine the relationships among coronary CT angiography (CTA) findings and clinical findings, mortality, and morbidity. The relationships among progression of coronary atherosclerosis, including changes in plaque characteristics on coronary CTA, and serum lipid levels and modification of coronary risk factors will also be evaluated.

From October 2009 to December 2012, 3015 patients who underwent coronary CTA in 29 centers in Japan were enrolled. These patients were followed for 2 years. The primary end points were considered as all-cause mortality and major cardiac events, including cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and unstable angina that required hospitalization. The secondary end points were heart failure that required administration of diuretics, target vessel revascularization, cerebral infarction, peripheral arterial disease, and invasive coronary angiography. Blood pressure, serum lipid, and C-reactive protein levels and all cardiovascular events were recorded at 1 and 2 years. If the initial coronary CTA showed any stenosis or plaques, follow-up coronary CTA was scheduled at 2 years to determine changes in coronary lesions, including changes in plaque characteristics.

Analysis of the PREDICT registry data will clarify the relationships between coronary CTA findings and cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in a collaborative multicenter fashion. This trial is registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as NCT 00991835.