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Capital death in the world market
Adam Avakian1, Boris Podobnik2, Manuela Piskor3
1Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts 02215, USA.
Summary
Globalization
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Globalization Studies
- Economic Modeling
Background:
- Globalization's impact on national economies is complex.
- Market capitalization (MCAP) per capita and gross domestic product (GDP) per capita are key indicators.
- Understanding their relationship is crucial for economic forecasting.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the relationship between GDP per capita and MCAP per capita.
- To model the effect of globalization on national economies.
- To predict future economic convergence based on current trends.
Main Methods:
- Statistical analysis of GDP per capita and MCAP per capita data.
- Power law modeling to describe economic relationships.
- Zipf ranking approach to analyze growth trends and predict future states.
Main Results:
- GDP per capita follows a power law function of MCAP per capita with an exponent near 1/3.
- Countries with lower initial MCAP per capita show faster growth rates.
- Economic convergence is predicted within 50 years if current trends persist.
Conclusions:
- Globalization drives economic convergence.
- A future state of "capital death" is predicted, where MCAP per capita becomes uniform across nations.
- This convergence has significant implications for global economic policy and theory.
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