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Published on: September 16, 2022
Combining test statistics and models in bootstrapped model rejection: it is a balancing act
Rikard Johansson, Peter Strålfors, Gunnar Cedersund1
1Department of Biomedical Engineering (IMT), Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden. gunnar.cedersund@liu.se.
Combining statistical tests using bootstrapping can be unreliable. A novel two-dimensional parametric bootstrapping method offers consistent and powerful model rejection, outperforming simpler approaches for systems biology.
Area of Science:
- Systems Biology
- Computational Biology
- Statistical Modeling
Background:
- Model rejection is crucial in systems biology for validating mechanistic assumptions against experimental data.
- Traditional statistical tests like chi-square (χ2) and Durbin-Watson (DW) often fail due to unmet assumptions.
- Bootstrapping offers an alternative for empirical distribution calculation but is computationally intensive and its extension to joint distributions is underexplored.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate reliable methods for combining bootstrapped statistical tests in model rejection.
- To develop and evaluate a novel two-dimensional (2D) parametric bootstrapping approach for enhanced statistical power and consistency.
- To compare the performance of various 2D bootstrapping strategies, including 2D χ2vsχ2 and bootstrapped log-likelihood ratio (LHR).
Main Methods:
- Evaluation of simplistic combinations of bootstrapped tests (e.g., max/min p-values) for model rejection.
- Development and application of a 2D parametric bootstrapping framework.
- Comparison of 2D χ2vsχ2 tests with varying complexity of a secondary 'help' model.
- Assessment of the bootstrapped log-likelihood ratio (LHR) as a powerful 1D approach derived from 2D distributions.
Main Results:
- Simple combinations of bootstrapped tests yield inconsistent results (overly conservative or liberal).
- The proposed 2D parametric bootstrapping approach demonstrates consistency and superior power compared to individual tests.
- A 2D χ2vsχ2 test using an appropriate 'help' model shows high efficacy.
- The bootstrapped LHR emerges as the most powerful method when a suitable 'help' model is identified, due to its dimensionality and information retention.
Conclusions:
- Established guidelines for effectively combining statistical tests within a bootstrap framework.
- Demonstrated the advantage of incorporating a second model in specific bootstrapping scenarios.
- Provided deeper insights into the log-likelihood ratio (LHR) for nonlinear and non-nested models.
- Highlighted the value of advanced bootstrapping methods for prioritizing accuracy and statistical power in complex biological modeling.
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