Private long-term care insurance. Simulations of a potential market

Long-term care is now the most common cause of catastrophic illness costs for the elderly. Although acute care health insurance represents a mature market, private long-term care insurance is in its infancy and poised for development. This study presents a comparative analysis of simulation data, generated from the Brookings-ICF Long-Term Care Financing Model, for five alternative private long-term care insurance models. The simulation results indicate 1) the potential market for private long-term care insurance is substantial, 2) moderately comprehensive long-term care policies are affordable by a significant minority of the elderly, 3) policies are considerably more affordable to those under age 65, and 4) long-term care insurance has somewhat less potential to pay for nursing home costs for high risk groups than for other elderly.