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Published on: July 24, 2012
Differences in injury severities between 2-vehicle and 3-vehicle crashes
Xinguo Jiang1, Haitao Zheng, Yanjun Qiu
1a School of Transportation and Logistics , Southwest Jiaotong University, National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation , Chengdu , China.
Objective And Methods:
In traditional injury severity-related studies, 2-vehicle and 3-vehicle crashes are typically considered in a combinatory manner and thus the injury casual factors for these 2 crash types are implicitly assumed to be the same. This article attempts to investigate the potential discrepancy between 2- and 3-vehicle crash severities with the aid of a continuation ratio logit model with the property of partial proportional odds.
Results:
The modeling results show that there are a number of significant differences between 2- and 3-vehicle crash injury severities in terms of the contributing factors, the magnitude of impact, and even the direction of effects.
Conclusions:
The research illustrates that a series of environmental and crash factors (e.g., rear-end straight crashes, urban roadways, alcohol usage, and different driving cohorts) are statistically significant in interpreting the disparity of coefficients between 2- and 3-vehicle crash injury severity models. It raises awareness that the combined analysis of 2- and 3-vehicle crashes should be exercised with caution, particularly when safety research targets crashes with less severe injuries.
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