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Updated: Apr 27, 2026

Catheter Ablation in Combination With Left Atrial Appendage Closure for Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: February 26, 2013
Erratum: utilization of anticoagulation therapy in medicare patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation
Kate Fitch1, Jonah Broulette2, Bruce Pyenson3
1Principal and Healthcare Management Consultant, Milliman, Inc, New York, NY.
Insights
Many Medicare patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are not receiving guideline-recommended warfarin for stroke prevention. This suboptimal use leads to increased ischemic stroke risk, highlighting a critical quality-of-care gap.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Geriatrics
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Clinical guidelines advocate for oral anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients at moderate-to-high stroke risk.
- Suboptimal use of anticoagulation therapy in AF patients is a persistent issue.
- This study examines warfarin utilization in the Medicare population using claims data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare real-world warfarin use in Medicare beneficiaries with nonvalvular AF (NVAF) against treatment guidelines.
- To assess the impact of warfarin exposure levels on patient outcomes, including stroke and bleeding events.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of Medicare Part D claims data for newly diagnosed NVAF patients (2006-2007).
- Risk stratification using CHADS2 (stroke) and ATRIA (bleeding) scores to identify eligible patients.
- Evaluation of warfarin use and exposure (proportion of days covered) over 12 months post-diagnosis.
- Multivariate logistic regression to assess the association between warfarin exposure and ischemic stroke/major bleeding rates.
Main Results:
- Of 14,149 NVAF patients, 7524 met criteria for anticoagulation; 41.3% did not receive warfarin.
- Warfarin exposure significantly reduced ischemic stroke risk (OR, 0.51; P <.001).
- Adequate warfarin exposure (≥80% days covered) also lowered stroke risk (OR, 0.59; P<.001).
- Warfarin exposure was linked to a higher major bleeding rate (OR, 1.19; P = .013), particularly in patients over 65.
Conclusions:
- A substantial proportion of Medicare beneficiaries with NVAF do not receive guideline-recommended anticoagulation.
- This underuse of warfarin contributes to excess ischemic stroke rates in the AF population.
- Findings underscore quality-of-care deficits and the need for improved adherence to anticoagulation guidelines in Medicare patients.
Background:
Clinical guidelines recommend oral anticoagulation for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) at moderate or high risk for stroke but not at high risk for bleeding; however, studies consistently report suboptimal use of such therapy. This study used Medicare Part D claims data to assess the use of warfarin in the Medicare population.
Objectives:
To compare real-world warfarin utilization with current treatment guideline recommendations, and to assess the effect of warfarin exposure level on patient outcomes in Medicare beneficiaries with nonvalvular AF (NVAF).
Methods:
Patients who were recently diagnosed with NVAF were identified using a random 5% sample of Research Identifiable Files of Medicare beneficiaries in 2006 or 2007. Individuals with moderate-to-high stroke risk per CHADS2 but not at high bleeding risk per ATRIA (Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation) bleeding risk score were evaluated for warfarin use, as identified by the presence of ≥1 warfarin prescription claims within 12 months after the index diagnosis. Warfarin exposure level was assessed by the proportion of days covered during the 12-month follow-up period. The effect of warfarin exposure on ischemic stroke and major bleeding event rates during the 12-month follow-up period were assessed using multivariate logistic regression.
Results:
Data from 14,149 newly diagnosed patients with NVAF (mean age, 79 years; 58.7% female) were analyzed, and of these, 7524 (53.2%) patients were identified as having moderate-to-high stroke risk and not being at high bleeding risk. Of these patients, 3110 (41.3%) did not receive warfarin within 12 months of the index diagnosis. The risk for ischemic stroke was significantly lower in those with warfarin exposure versus no warfarin exposure (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.51; confidence interval [CI], 0.43-0.61; P <.001) and in patients with warfarin proportion of days covered ≥80% versus those with proportion of days covered <80% (adjusted OR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.48-0.72; P<.001). Warfarin exposure was associated with a significantly higher major bleeding rate (adjusted OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.04-1.36; P = .013), with this significant difference being driven by patients aged >65 years.
Conclusions:
Based on a risk-stratification scheme composed of previously published tools, such as CHADS2 and the ATRIA bleeding risk index, a significant proportion of Medicare beneficiaries with AF are not receiving guideline-recommended anticoagulation therapy, which leads to an excess rate of ischemic stroke in this patient population. These findings highlight quality-of-care issues for patients with AF and the need to improve compliance with anticoagulation guidelines in the Medicare population.
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