Predictors of AIDS-preventive behavior among homosexually active men: a longitudinal study

Predictors of adoption of safer sexual behaviors were examined in a cohort of 278 homosexually active men with stable HIV-antibody status followed over 12 months at a Boston community health center. The behaviors examined included: (1) restriction of partners to one monogamous or steady relationship and (2) among men who maintained multiple or non-steady partners, the avoidance of unprotected receptive and insertive anogenital contact. For each behavior, men who adopted consistently safer behavior were compared with those who remained unsafe, using bivariate analyses and multiple logistic regression modelling. The strongest predictor of all behaviors was the initial level of the unsafe behavior. After controlling for this, weak effects of several health beliefs were found, including perceived susceptibility and medical efficacy. Men who became aware of a positive HIV-antibody test result and who reported greater effort to change their behavior were more likely to adopt safer insertive anogenital contact. In this generally well-educated cohort with high levels of knowledge about AIDS, adoption of safer sexual behaviors is best predicted from previous levels of unsafe behavior.