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Are rates of pediatric bipolar disorder increasing? Results from a nationwide register study
Lars Vedel Kessing1, Eleni Vradi2, Per Kragh Andersen2
1Psychiatric Center Copenhagen, Department O, 6233 and University of Copenhagen, Blegdamsvej 9, Copenhagen, 2100 Denmark.
Insights
Pediatric bipolar disorder rates doubled in Denmark from 1995-2012. This increase appears to reflect a true rise in illness, not just increased diagnostic attention, as age at diagnosis and timing remained consistent.
Area of Science:
- Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
- Epidemiology
- Mental Health Research
Background:
- US studies indicate rising pediatric bipolar disorder rates since the mid-1990s.
- No international studies outside the US have examined pediatric bipolar disorder incidence.
- It remains unclear if rising rates reflect true incidence or increased diagnostic focus.
Purpose of the Study:
- Investigate gender-specific rates of pediatric mania/bipolar disorder in Denmark (1995-2012).
- Examine changes in age and characteristics of pediatric bipolar disorder diagnoses over time.
- Determine if diagnoses are made earlier in the course of psychiatric contact in recent years.
Main Methods:
- Utilized nationwide Danish registers of all inpatient and outpatient psychiatric contacts (1995-2012).
- Analyzed 346 patients with a primary diagnosis of manic episode (F30) or bipolar affective disorder (F31).
- Compared diagnostic characteristics between two periods: 1995-2003 and 2004-2012.
Main Results:
- Annual rates of pediatric mania/bipolar disorder doubled to quadrupled for both sexes during the study period.
- Median age at diagnosis remained consistent (around 17 years) across both periods.
- No significant changes were observed in the timing of diagnosis relative to first psychiatric contact.
Conclusions:
- The incidence of pediatric mania/bipolar disorder significantly increased in Denmark between 1995 and 2012.
- This rise is unlikely attributable to increased diagnostic attention alone.
- Findings suggest a genuine increase in the prevalence of pediatric bipolar disorder.
Abstract:
Studies from the USA suggest that rates of pediatric bipolar disorder have increased since the mid-90s, but no study outside the USA has been published on the rates of pediatric bipolar disorder. Further, it is unclear whether an increase in rates reflects a true increase in the illness or more diagnostic attention. Using nationwide registers of all inpatients and outpatients contacts to all psychiatric hospitals in Denmark, we investigated (1) gender-specific rates of incident pediatric mania/bipolar disorder during a period from 1995 to 2012, (2) whether age and other characteristics for pediatric mania/bipolar disorder changed during the calendar period (1995 to 2003 versus 2004 to 2012), and (3) whether the diagnosis is more often made at first psychiatric contact in recent time compared to earlier according to gender. Totally, 346 patients got a main diagnosis of a manic episode (F30) or bipolar affective disorder (F31) at least once during the study period from 1995 to 2012. For both sexes, annual rates of mania/bipolar disorder two to four doubled during the study period (0.001% before year 2004 to 0.002%-0.004% in 2010). Median age at the index diagnosis was very similar during the two calendar periods (17.2, quartiles, 16.2-18.3 versus 17.4, quartiles, 16.1-18.2) indicating that the diagnosis of mania/bipolar disorder was not made earlier in the recent calendar period. Similarly, there were no differences between early versus late in the study period in the fractions of first contact diagnosis of mania/bipolar disorder diagnoses, the contact number at which patients got the diagnosis or the duration from first psychiatric contact to the diagnosis of mania/bipolar disorder. The rate of diagnosis of mania/bipolar disorder increased from 1995 to 2014, which did not seem to be explained by more diagnostic attention.
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