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Published on: June 30, 2014
Relapses and disability accumulation in progressive multiple sclerosis
M Mateo Paz Soldán1, Martina Novotna1, Nuhad Abou Zeid1
1From the Mayo Clinic Center for Multiple Sclerosis and CNS Demyelinating Diseases, Department of Neurology (M.M.P.S., M.N., B.M.K., I.P., S.J.P., C.F.L., B.G.W., M.R., O.H.K.), and Division of Biomedical Statistics & Informatics (D.J.C., E.J.A.), Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN; International Clinical Research Center (M.N.), St. Anne's University Hospital Brno, Czech Republic; Department of Neurology (N.A.Z.), American University of Beirut Medical Center, Lebanon; Department of Neurology (N.K.), Bakirkoy State Hospital, Istanbul; and Department of Neurology (M.T., A.S.), Cerrahpasa School of Medicine, Istanbul University, Turkey. N.A.Z., N.K., and M.T. were previous fellows of the Department of Neurology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine.
Objective:
We examined the effect of relapses-before and after progression onset-on the rate of postprogression disability accrual in a progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) cohort.
Methods:
We studied patients with primary progressive MS (n = 322) and bout-onset progressive MS (BOPMS) including single-attack progressive MS (n = 112) and secondary progressive MS (n = 421). The effect of relapses on time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 6 was studied using multivariate Cox regression analysis (sex, age at progression, and immunomodulation modeled as covariates). Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed using EDSS 6 as endpoint.
Results:
Preprogression relapses (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.63; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.34-1.98), postprogression relapses (HR: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.11-1.70), female sex (HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.00-1.43), and progression onset after age 50 years (HR: 1.47; 95% CI: 1.21-1.78) were associated with shorter time to EDSS 6. Postprogression relapses occurred in 29.5% of secondary progressive MS, 10.7% of single-attack progressive MS, and 3.1% of primary progressive MS. Most occurred within 5 years (91.6%) after progressive disease onset and/or before age 55 (95.2%). Immunomodulation after onset of progressive disease course (HR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.52-0.78) seemingly lengthened time to EDSS 6 (for BOPMS with ongoing relapses) when analyzed as a dichotomous variable, but not as a time-dependent variable.
Conclusions:
Pre- and postprogression relapses accelerate time to severe disability in progressive MS. Continuing immunomodulation for 5 years after the onset of progressive disease or until 55 years of age may be reasonable to consider in patients with BOPMS who have ongoing relapses.
Insights
Relapses before and after disease progression significantly speed up severe disability in multiple sclerosis (MS). Continuing immunomodulation for up to 5 years post-progression may benefit certain MS patients with ongoing relapses.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Clinical Research
- Disease Progression Studies
Background:
- Progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) is characterized by accumulating disability.
- The impact of relapses on disability accrual in progressive MS requires further clarification.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the effect of relapses occurring before and after disease progression onset on the rate of disability accumulation in a progressive MS cohort.
- To identify factors associated with a faster time to severe disability (Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] score of 6).
Main Methods:
- Analysis of a progressive MS cohort including primary progressive MS (PPMS) and bout-onset progressive MS (BOPMS) (n=855).
- Multivariate Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to assess the time to EDSS 6, considering relapses, sex, age at progression, and immunomodulation.
- Subgroup analysis of postprogression relapse rates in PPMS, single-attack progressive MS (SAPMS), and secondary progressive MS (SPMS).
Main Results:
- Both preprogression and postprogression relapses were significantly associated with a shorter time to EDSS 6 (HR: 1.63 and 1.37, respectively).
- Female sex and progression onset after age 50 were also linked to faster disability accrual.
- Postprogression relapses were most common in SPMS (29.5%) and typically occurred within 5 years of progression onset or before age 55.
Conclusions:
- Relapses occurring at any stage of progressive multiple sclerosis accelerate the time to severe disability.
- Consideration of continuing immunomodulation for 5 years post-progression or until age 55 may be beneficial for BOPMS patients experiencing ongoing relapses.
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