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A scalable climate health justice assessment model
Yolanda J McDonald1, Sara E Grineski2, Timothy W Collins2
1College of GeoSciences, Department of Geography, Texas A&M University, MS 3147, College Station, TX 77843, USA.
A new climate health justice model reveals climate change disproportionately impacts Black communities with increased disease incidence and costs. Future projections show exacerbated health disparities, raising significant justice concerns.
Area of Science:
- Environmental health
- Health equity
- Climate change impacts
Background:
- Climate change is linked to various diseases, creating health disparities.
- Existing models often lack a justice-centered approach to assess these impacts.
- Sociospatial disparities in disease burden require scalable assessment tools.
Purpose of the Study:
- Introduce a scalable "climate health justice" model.
- Assess and project disease incidence, treatment costs, and disparities linked to climate change.
- Merge environmental justice concerns with health inequalities.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a "climate health justice" model with low-cost secondary data.
- Employed International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes for transferability.
- Analyzed 2008-2010 Texas hospitalization data for cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, heat-related, and respiratory diseases.
Main Results:
- Cardiovascular diseases had the highest admission rate (5286.37/100,000), followed by asthma (517.51/100,000).
- Total treatment costs for selected diseases reached US$5.6 billion over 3 years.
- Blacks experienced disproportionate disease burden; spatial analysis identified high-risk zones.
Conclusions:
- Climate change exacerbates existing health inequalities, particularly for Black communities.
- Projected >5% increase in asthma incidence and costs by 2040-2050 in Texas due to climate change.
- Predicted trends highlight intergenerational and distributional climate health justice concerns.
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