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Sampling strategies for frequency spectrum-based population genomic inference.

John D Robinson1,2, Alec J Coffman3, Michael J Hickerson4,5,6

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Accurate population genomics inference using the allele frequency spectrum (AFS) requires larger sample sizes for recent demographic events. Genome-wide AFS analysis provides valuable insights into demographic history, guiding future population sampling strategies.

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Area of Science:

  • Population genomics
  • Evolutionary biology
  • Bioinformatics

Background:

  • The allele frequency spectrum (AFS) quantifies single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) variant frequencies within a sample.
  • Advanced methods enable parameter estimation and model likelihood calculations using joint AFS from multiple populations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the accuracy of parameter estimation and model selection using the δaδi Python module.
  • To compare performance across different sample sizes and demographic models (one- and two-population).

Main Methods:

  • Conducted simulation studies using the δaδi Python module.
  • Analyzed data based on varying sample sizes and demographic model complexities.
  • Quantified model selection uncertainty and parameter estimation accuracy/precision.

Main Results:

  • Accurate parameter estimates and model selection were achieved for ancient demographic events with relatively small sample sizes.
  • Recent demographic events require larger sample sizes for comparable accuracy and precision.
  • Performance was assessed as a function of demographic event timing, sample size, and model complexity.

Conclusions:

  • The genome-wide AFS is a powerful tool for inferring demographic history.
  • Larger sample sizes enhance the power for model selection and parameter estimation, especially for recent events.
  • Recommendations are provided to guide sampling strategies in population genomics studies.