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A model predicting perforation and complications in paediatric appendicectomy
Obinna Obinwa1, Colin Peirce, Michael Cassidy
1Department of Surgery, Portiuncula Hospital, Ballinasloe, County Galway, Ireland, obinnaobinwa@rcsi.ie.
Insights
Early detection of advanced appendicitis is crucial. Preoperative fever, anorexia, and rebound tenderness, along with a high white blood cell (WBC) count, are key indicators for advanced appendicitis in children.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Surgery
- Clinical Diagnostics
- Medical Research
Background:
- Appendicitis is a common surgical emergency in children.
- Early and accurate diagnosis of advanced appendicitis (perforation, mass, abscess) is critical to prevent complications.
- Simple clinical measurements can aid in early detection.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the diagnostic value of simple clinical measurements for early detection of advanced appendicitis in pediatric patients.
- To identify predictors of advanced appendicitis and associated postoperative complications.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 1037 pediatric appendectomies over 14 years.
- Evaluation of preoperative symptoms, signs, laboratory results, and intra-operative findings.
- Use of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and multivariate logistic regression to determine predictor accuracy.
Main Results:
- Advanced appendicitis occurred in 11.9% of cases (8.5% perforation, 3.4% abscess).
- Preoperative temperature ≥37.5 °C was the most discriminatory factor for advanced appendicitis.
- Other significant predictors included WBC count ≥15,100/μL, anorexia, and rebound tenderness.
- Postoperative complications (7.1%) were associated with fever and advanced appendicitis.
Conclusions:
- While individual clinical predictors lack perfect accuracy, preoperative pyrexia is strongly linked to advanced appendicitis.
- Fever is also associated with increased risk of postoperative complications.
- Preoperative fever may indicate the need for prompt antibiotic treatment, imaging, and surgical intervention.
Purpose:
To analyse the diagnostic value of simple clinical measurements in ensuring an early and accurate detection of advanced appendicitis (perforation, mass and peri-appendicular abscess) and possible complications.
Methods:
A retrospective, single-centre study of all paediatric (age 0-14 years) appendicectomies was conducted over a 14-year period. Preoperative symptoms, signs and laboratory results, intra-operative findings and postoperative complications were analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to estimate sensitivity and specificity of significant (p ≤ 0.05) predictor variables based on multivariate logistic regression models.
Results:
One thousand and thirty-seven patients were included. Perforations were seen in 88 (8.5%) cases, and abscesses were seen in 35 (3.4%) cases. Of all the clinical variables evaluated, preoperative temperature ≥37.5 °C was most discriminatory for advanced appendicitis. Significant other discriminatory clinical variables were WBC count ≥15,100/μL, preoperative anorexia and rebound tenderness. Postoperative complications occurred in 74 (7.1%) patients and were associated with pre-operative temperature ≥37.5 °C and advanced appendicitis.
Conclusion:
Independent clinical predictors of advanced appendicitis exist but lack individual accuracy. In this study, preoperative pyrexia is shown to be highly associated with both advanced appendicitis and development of postoperative complications. This independent factor may point to early need for antibiotic treatment, urgent imaging and subsequent intervention in patients with appendicitis.
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