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Updated: Apr 18, 2026

Development of an Individual-Tree Basal Area Increment Model using a Linear Mixed-Effects Approach
Published on: July 3, 2020
Viewpoint: model selection uncertainty, pre-specification, and model averaging
1Novartis Pharma AG, 4002, Basel, Switzerland.
Abstract:
Scientific progress in all empirical sciences relies on selecting models and performing inferences from selected models. Standard statistical properties (e.g., repeated sampling coverage probability of confidence intervals) cannot be guaranteed after a model selection. This viewpoint reviews this dilemma, puts the role that pre-specification can play into perspective and illustrates model averaging as a way to relax the problem of model selection uncertainty.
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