Comparative mortality among people diagnosed with HIV infection or AIDS in the U.S., 2001-2010

The comparative mortality figure (CMF) is the expected number of deaths in the standard population compared with those observed. We assessed state-based CMFs for people with HIV infection to allow standardized assessment of mortality in all states.

We used National HIV Surveillance System data to compute CMFs for people diagnosed with HIV and AIDS from 2001 to 2010 who met the CDC HIV case definition; were alive on December 31, 2009; and died during 2010.

In 33 U.S. states with name-based HIV reporting since 2001, the 2010 CMF for people with an HIV diagnosis was 2.8 compared with 4.5 for those with an AIDS diagnosis. CMFs for males were higher than for females (3.4 vs. 3.1) and black people had higher CMFs than white people for HIV (3.2 vs. 2.2) and AIDS (4.7 vs. 4.3). CMFs by state ranged from 0.9 to 4.2 for HIV and 1.9 to 9.7 for AIDS. In 50 states and the District of Columbia with AIDS reporting, CMFs for males and females were similar (4.5 and 4.6, respectively), CMFs for black people remained higher than for white people (5.0 and 3.9, respectively), and the range for states remained broad (1.2-9.4).

State mortality figures varied based on population composition and disease stage at diagnosis, possibly indicating a need for state-specific testing, linkage to care, and viral suppression strategies to reduce mortality.