Risk of progression for incidental small subepithelial tumors in the upper gastrointestinal tract

Subepithelial tumor is a relatively common finding in upper gastrointestinal endoscopy. This study aimed to evaluate the natural course of incidentally detected small subepithelial tumors in the upper gastrointestinal tract and to analyze risk factors for increase in the size of such tumors.

Medical records of 1684 patients with subepithelial tumors in the upper gastrointestinal tract incidentally detected between 2004 and 2013 were retrospectively reviewed. If serial follow-up endoscopy showed significant size increase, endoscopic or surgical resection was recommended because of possibility of malignant change.

954 participants with subepithelial tumors underwent serial upper gastrointestinal endoscopy for a period > 6 months. Initial mean size of subepithelial tumors was 8.7 mm (range 1 - 35 mm). During a mean follow-up of 47.3 months (range 6 - 118 months), lesion size was unchanged in 920 participants (96.4 %), and in 34 participants (3.6 %) lesions had increased at least 25 % in diameter (mean increment 6.2 mm, range 2 - 15 mm). Subepithelial tumors with overlying mucosal changes (hyperemia, erosion, or ulcer) had a significantly higher risk of increasing in size (odds ratio [OR] = 3.61, 95 % confidence interval [95 %CI] 1.06 - 12.28). Growth rates (size increment per year) for enlarging lesions were significantly correlated with initial size (r = 0.44, P = 0.009).

Most incidentally detected small subepithelial tumors in the upper gastrointestinal tract showed no size change during follow-up. Thus, regular follow-up with serial endoscopy may be sufficient for small subepithelial tumors (< 2 cm) with intact overlying mucosa.