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Updated: Apr 11, 2026

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
Published on: March 31, 2023
Projected future climate change and Baltic Sea ecosystem management
Agneta Andersson1, H E Markus Meier, Matyas Ripszam
1Department of Ecology and Environmental Science, Umeå University, 901 87, Umeå, Sweden, agneta.andersson@umu.se.
Climate change will significantly impact the Baltic Sea, causing warming, reduced ice cover, and altered salinity. These changes will affect ecosystem dynamics, favoring bacteria in the north and potentially increasing anoxia in the south, impacting fish production.
Area of Science:
- Marine biology
- Climate science
- Ecosystem dynamics
Background:
- Climate change projections for the Baltic Sea include significant warming (2-4°C) and reduced ice cover (50-80%) by 2100.
- Increased precipitation in the north is expected to raise land runoff, introducing allochthonous organic matter (AOM) and pollutants, while decreasing salinity.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the projected impacts of climate change on the Baltic Sea ecosystem.
- To understand the consequences for biogeochemical processes, food web dynamics, and fisheries.
Main Methods:
- Utilized coupled physical-biogeochemical models to simulate future climate scenarios.
- Analyzed projected changes in temperature, ice cover, salinity, and nutrient loads.
Main Results:
- Simulations predict increased bottom-water anoxia in the south, negatively affecting cod recruitment and promoting cyanobacterial blooms.
- In the north, allochthonous organic matter is expected to favor heterotrophic bacteria, potentially reducing phytoplankton production.
- Increased trophic levels may lead to greater energy loss and reduced overall fish production.
Conclusions:
- Future Baltic Sea management must integrate climate change effects with existing anthropogenic pressures (nutrients, pollutants).
- Holistic monitoring approaches are essential, encompassing both autotrophic (phytoplankton) and heterotrophic (bacterial) processes to effectively manage the ecosystem.
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